Should You Buy AES Stock? A Comprehensive Review

This snapshot summarizes AES’s current position. Currently priced at $10.09, AES has a model-based 1-year forecast around $7.73 (a -23.3% potential change). The technical picture shows a Neutral bias (Below SMA 50, Below SMA 200). Price swing intensity is measured by volatility at 53.5%. We delve into more specific technical and fundamental analysis in the subsequent sections.

Here’s the breakdown of the month forecast for AES ($4.17 to $13.23 overall range). The table shows projected price bands, potential ROI against the current price, and the resulting model signal per period.

Over the forecast horizon (2025-05 to 2026-05), AES’s price is projected by the model to fluctuate between approximately $4.17 and $13.23.

The projected price range remains relatively consistent (from $10.81 – $10.81 to $4.17 – $10.45), implying stable forecast uncertainty.

Moving beyond simple market cap, total valuation metrics provide deeper insight. At N/A, the Enterprise Value (EV) presents a fuller picture of AES’s aggregate value, accounting for both equity and net debt. Relating this EV to performance, the EV/Revenue multiple stands at 3.45x, and the EV/EBITDA multiple is 13.41x, gauging value against sales and core operational earnings respectively. These figures help evaluate AES’s price relative to its business scale and operational results. Note the upcoming earnings (Est: 2025-05-01) and ex-dividend (2025-05-01) dates.

This section examines AES’s ability to generate profit and expand its business. Key profitability metrics include Gross Margin (17.62%), Operating Margin (12.44%), and Net Profit Margin (10.67%). Recent expansion is reflected in Year-over-Year Revenue Growth (-5.20%) and Earnings Growth (-89.20%). Context for these margin and growth numbers comes from comparing them to historical data 📜 and industry rivals 👥. These are key indicators of financial performance and future potential.

This section summarizes the collective view of professional analysts covering AES. The consensus recommendation is ‘Buy’. This consensus is based on opinions from 13 analyst(s). The mean price target is $13.71, with individual targets ranging from $5.00 – $23.00. The average target ($13.71) suggests roughly 35.9% potential upside compared to the current price ($10.09). This provides a gauge of Wall Street sentiment regarding the stock’s potential.

The following technical analysis summary for AES, based on data up to 2025-05-30 00:00:00, outlines key indicators related to trend, momentum, and volatility. Detailed charts typically provide visual confirmation of these signals.

• Trend: Negative Trend Alignment, with price ($10.09) below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, signaling prevailing weakness.
• Momentum (RSI): ➕ 22.0 (Depressed), potentially indicating the sell-off is exhausted.

Short selling data provides a measure of negative sentiment or bets against AES. Short selling activity is measured by Short % of Float (6.19%) and Days to Cover (2.50x). The current level is considered moderate. This implies moderate bearish sentiment and suggests some short squeeze potential. The low Days to Cover (2.50x) indicates shorts could cover relatively quickly, potentially limiting squeeze duration.

Here we detail AES’s price behavior: market sensitivity, historical range, recent volatility, and volume. Key price behavior metrics include Beta (0.94x), the 52-week trading range ($9.46 – $21.12), recent short-term volatility (53.5%), and average trading liquidity (3m Avg Vol: N/A). Beta (0.94x) implies the stock’s volatility generally tracks the broader market. The recent volatility (53.5%) is high, indicating significant price swings.

Overall Assessment & Outlook

Overall, AES combines a technical picture leaning Neutral with a fundamental health assessment of moderate. From a valuation standpoint, it looks Potentially Attractive (Fwd P/E: 5.03x). Looking out one year, the forecast implies potential downside (-23.3%) with an average target near ≈$7.73. Careful consideration of these points relative to identified risks and their individual investment horizon.

Potential investors in AES should be aware of several risk factors. The following list highlights key considerations based on data and market dynamics, but may not include all possible risks.