MSTR Stock Analysis for Money Stockers
Introduction
Here, we examine Strategy Incorporated (MSTR), operating in the Technology sector’s Software – Application space. On 2025-05-23 00:00:00, MSTR’s shares were valued at $369.51, reflecting a robust technical setup, holding above primary moving averages. A position over both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs often confirms an ongoing uptrend. Boasting a market cap around $103.28 B, MSTR represents a significant player in its field.
Here, we present a combined analysis of Strategy Incorporated (MSTR), blending technical charts, fundamental metrics, and future projections. Our goal is to offer a well-rounded view of its market position, associated risks (review Risk Factors), and what the future might hold.
Company Snapshot
Key aspects of its operations include: MicroStrategy Incorporated, together with its subsidiaries, provides artificial intelligence-powered enterprise analytics software and services in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It offers Strategy One, which provides non-technical users with the ability to directly access novel and actionable insights for decision-making; HyperIntelligence, a context-based…
Metrics Summary
This snapshot summarizes MSTR’s current position. The stock trades at $369.51, with models forecasting a 1-year average target near $483.30 (+30.8%). Sentiment derived from technicals is Neutral-Bullish (Above SMA 50 / Above SMA 200). The stock’s recent volatility stands at 43.7%. Further details on the technical and fundamental aspects are explored below.
Detailed Forecast Table
The detailed month forecast below outlines the model’s expectations for MSTR’s price evolution ($345.51 to $596.87). It includes projected ranges (Min, Avg, Max), potential ROI based on the average projection versus the current price, and a derived model signal for each period.
Over the forecast horizon (2025-05 to 2026-05), MSTR’s price is projected by the model to fluctuate between approximately $345.51 and $596.87.
The model maintains a consistent level of confidence, reflected in the stable forecast range ($401.46 – $401.46 to $454.18 – $539.13).
Month (Period) | Min. Price | Avg. Price | Max. Price | Potential ROI vs Current ($369.51) | Model Signal |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-05 | $401.46 | $401.46 | $401.46 | ▲ 8.6% | Consider Buy |
2025-06 | $445.91 | $470.61 | $502.27 | ▲ 27.4% | Consider Buy |
2025-07 | $445.47 | $464.43 | $489.74 | ▲ 25.7% | Consider Buy |
2025-08 | $424.24 | $456.18 | $480.34 | ▲ 23.5% | Consider Buy |
2025-09 | $350.04 | $406.23 | $454.91 | ▲ 9.9% | Consider Buy |
2025-10 | $345.51 | $394.31 | $444.89 | ▲ 6.7% | Consider Buy |
2025-11 | $417.64 | $475.96 | $543.07 | ▲ 28.8% | Consider Buy |
2025-12 | $529.89 | $568.33 | $596.87 | ▲ 53.8% | Consider Buy |
2026-01 | $504.26 | $539.03 | $576.76 | ▲ 45.9% | Consider Buy |
2026-02 | $485.24 | $515.39 | $542.25 | ▲ 39.5% | Consider Buy |
2026-03 | $459.26 | $487.42 | $519.56 | ▲ 31.9% | Consider Buy |
2026-04 | $439.45 | $472.13 | $502.86 | ▲ 27.8% | Consider Buy |
2026-05 | $454.18 | $483.30 | $539.13 | ▲ 30.8% | Consider Buy |
Forecasts are model-based estimates, inherently uncertain, and subject to change based on evolving data and market conditions. They do not guarantee future prices.
Total Valuation
Moving beyond simple market cap, total valuation metrics provide deeper insight. Enterprise Value (EV) of N/A provides a more comprehensive measure of MSTR’s total worth than market cap alone, as it incorporates debt and cash. Relating this EV to performance, the EV/Revenue multiple stands at 237.39x, and the EV/EBITDA multiple is -14.42x, gauging value against sales and core operational earnings respectively. These figures help evaluate MSTR’s price relative to its business scale and operational results. Note the upcoming earnings (Est: 2025-05-01) and ex-dividend (N/A) dates.
Market Cap | $103.28 B |
Enterprise Value | $111.41 B |
EV/Revenue (TTM) | 237.39x |
EV/EBITDA (TTM) | -14.42x |
Next Earnings Date | 2025-05-01 |
Profitability Growth
Here we look at MSTR’s profit generation and growth trajectory. Key profitability metrics include Gross Margin (70.95%), Operating Margin (-5331.43%), and Net Profit Margin (0.00%). Recent expansion is reflected in Year-over-Year Revenue Growth (-3.60%) and Earnings Growth (N/A). Context for these margin and growth numbers comes from comparing them to historical data 📜 and industry rivals 👥. These metrics reflect financial success and expansion capacity.
Profit Margin (TTM) | 0.00% |
Operating Margin (TTM) | -5331.43% |
Gross Margin (TTM) | 70.95% |
EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 0.00% |
Revenue (TTM) | $459.28 M |
Revenue Growth (YoY) | -3.60% |
Gross Profit (TTM) | $325.85 M |
EBITDA (TTM) | $-7.56 B |
Net Income (TTM) | $-5.34 B |
Analyst Insights
Here’s the consensus from Wall Street analysts on MSTR. The average recommendation is ‘Buy’. This consensus is based on opinions from 14 analyst(s). Targets average $530.29 (within a range of $175.00 – $650.00). Relative to the current price ($369.51), the mean analyst target ($530.29) points to approximately 43.5% upside. This reflects overall analyst sentiment on the stock’s outlook.
Technical Analysis Summary
This technical overview for MSTR (as of 2025-05-23 00:00:00) covers essential trend, momentum, and volatility indicators. Charts offer more detail, but this summarizes the key signals.
- Trend: Bullish Trend Confirmation, since the price ($369.51) remains above both primary SMAs, confirming bullish sentiment.
- Momentum (RSI): ● 30.6 (Neutral), showing momentum is not at an extreme, offering few immediate reversal signals.
- Momentum (MACD): ▼ Bearish Stance (Line: 8.655 < Signal: 14.678), and negative Histogram reinforces the downward momentum.
- Volatility (BBands): ➕ Price piercing the Lower Band ($376.25), signaling a volatility surge and possible temporary overselling. Monitor for reversal patterns or consolidation near the lows.
- Support/Resistance (30d): Potential near-term floor seen at $343.24, ceiling near $430.35. Reactions to these support/resistance levels are key technical events.
Moving Average Details
Technical signals are based on historical data and aren’t foolproof predictors. Integrate technical views with fundamental research and sound risk management.
Short Selling Info
This data shows bets against MSTR. Relevant short data includes Short % of Float (10.85%) and the Short Ratio (1.50x). The short interest level is notable. This indicates notable bearish sentiment and carries elevated potential for a short squeeze. A low Short Ratio (1.50x) means covering is fast, which might reduce the impact of any squeeze.
Shares Short | $27 M |
Short Ratio (Days To Cover) | 1.50x |
Short % of Float | 10.85% |
Shares Short (Prior Month) | $29 M |
Short Date | 2025-04-30 |
Stock Price Statistics
Here we detail MSTR’s price behavior: market sensitivity, historical range, recent volatility, and volume. Key price behavior metrics include Beta (3.81x), the 52-week trading range ($102.40 – $543.00), recent short-term volatility (43.7%), and average trading liquidity (3m Avg Vol: N/A). Beta (3.81x) suggests the stock is more volatile than the overall market. The recent volatility (43.7%) is high, indicating significant price swings.
52 Week High | $543.00 |
52 Week Low | $102.40 |
50 Day MA | $346.59 |
200 Day MA | $287.51 |
Beta | 3.81x |
Volatility (30d Ann.) | 43.7% 📉 |
Conclusion Outlook
Short-Term Technical Snapshot
- ▲Overall Technical Sentiment: Neutral-Bullish
- ▲Price Trend vs MAs: bullish (above SMA50/200)
- ●Momentum (RSI): Neutral (30.6)
- ▼Momentum (MACD): Bearish Crossover
- ➕Volatility (BBands): Below Lower Band
- 📊Support / Resistance (30d): ~$343.24 / ~$430.35
Longer-Term Fundamental & Forecast Outlook
- ▲1-Year Avg. Forecast: ~+30.8% avg. change to ≈$483.30
- ●Fundamental Health: Assessment Incomplete (ROE: -29.68%, D/E: 24.44x)
- ●Valuation Snapshot: Appears Moderate (Fwd P/E: -847.09x)
- ●Recent Growth (YoY): N/A (Rev: -3.60%, Earn: N/A)
- ▲Analyst Consensus: Buy (Target: $530.29)
Overall Assessment & Outlook
Overall, MSTR combines a technical picture leaning Neutral-Bullish with a fundamental health assessment of moderate. From a valuation standpoint, it looks Appears Moderate (Fwd P/E: -847.09x). Looking out one year, the forecast implies potential upside (+30.8%) with an average target near ≈$483.30. It’s crucial to evaluate these findings in the context of specific risk factors mentioned previously and their own financial objectives.
Note: This report combines model projections and public data for educational use. It is not investment advice. Market conditions change rapidly. Always conduct thorough independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Risk Factors
Potential investors in MSTR should be aware of several risk factors. The following list highlights key considerations based on data and market dynamics, but may not include all possible risks.
- ⚠️ High Volatility: Recent annualized volatility (43.7%) suggests significant price swings.
- ⚠️ Broad market volatility affects all stocks, including this one.
- ⚠️ Factors specific to the Software – Application industry or Technology sector can affect performance.
- ⚠️ Macroeconomic factors like inflation and interest rate changes present potential risks.
- ⚠️ Idiosyncratic risks tied to the company’s operations or announcements exist.