Outlook for CCL: Money Stockers’s Analysis & 2025-2026 Forecast

CCL Stock Analysis for Money Stockers

Introduction

We turn our attention to Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL), situated in the Travel Services industry within the Consumer Cyclical sector. As of 2025-05-23 00:00:00, the stock is trading at $22.25, reflecting an ambiguous technical signal, trading above the 50-day but below the 200-day SMA. Being above the 50-day SMA but below the 200-day SMA suggests potential short-term strength conflicting with the longer-term trend, often requiring further confirmation. With a market capitalization of approximately $31.32 B, CCL represents a significant player in its field.

This report offers a multi-faceted analysis of Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL), integrating technical signals, fundamental data, and forward-looking forecasts. The aim is to provide investors with a balanced perspective on the stock’s current market standing, potential risks (see Risk Factors), and future performance outlook.

Company Snapshot

The company primarily focuses on: Carnival Corporation & plc, a cruise company, provides leisure travel services in North America, Australia, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: NAA Cruise Operations, Europe Cruise Operations, Cruise Support, and Tour and Other. It operates port destinations and islands, as well as owns and operates hotels, lodges, glass-domed railcars, and motorcoaches. The co…

Metrics Summary

Current Price$22.25
1-Month Forecast$25.24
1-Year Forecast$31.22 (+40.3%)
Technical Sentiment Neutral
Volatility (30d Ann.)36.2% 📉
Above SMA 50$19.47
Below SMA 200$23.09
Green Days (30d)19/30 (63%)

The following data points provide a summary of CCL’s current status. The stock trades at $22.25, with models forecasting a 1-year average target near $31.22 (+40.3%). Sentiment derived from technicals is Neutral (Above SMA 50 / Below SMA 200). The stock’s recent volatility stands at 36.2%. The following sections provide deeper analysis into the underlying technicals and fundamentals.

Detailed Forecast Table

The detailed month forecast below outlines the model’s expectations for CCL’s price evolution ($17.09 to $44.48). It includes projected ranges (Min, Avg, Max), potential ROI based on the average projection versus the current price, and a derived model signal for each period.

Over the forecast horizon (2025-05 to 2026-05), CCL’s price is projected by the model to fluctuate between approximately $17.09 and $44.48.

The model maintains a consistent level of confidence, reflected in the stable forecast range ($21.35 – $21.35 to $21.31 – $44.48).

Month (Period) Min. Price Avg. Price Max. Price Potential ROI vs Current ($22.25) Model Signal
2025-05 $21.35 $21.35 $21.35 -4.1% Consider Short
2025-06 $17.58 $24.90 $31.22 11.9% Consider Buy
2025-07 $19.10 $25.24 $31.72 13.4% Consider Buy
2025-08 $17.09 $25.61 $30.53 15.1% Consider Buy
2025-09 $21.04 $26.59 $33.59 19.5% Consider Buy
2025-10 $21.65 $27.24 $32.88 22.4% Consider Buy
2025-11 $21.15 $27.88 $34.01 25.3% Consider Buy
2025-12 $24.87 $29.15 $38.23 31.0% Consider Buy
2026-01 $23.96 $30.03 $35.94 35.0% Consider Buy
2026-02 $24.84 $30.70 $38.40 38.0% Consider Buy
2026-03 $21.71 $30.75 $40.28 38.2% Consider Buy
2026-04 $21.31 $30.77 $39.35 38.3% Consider Buy
2026-05 $21.31 $31.22 $44.48 40.3% Consider Buy

Remember that these forecasts are generated by models, carry inherent uncertainty, and can change with new data or market shifts. Future prices are not guaranteed.

Total Valuation

Total valuation metrics offer a broader perspective beyond market capitalization. Enterprise Value (EV) of N/A provides a more comprehensive measure of CCL’s total worth than market cap alone, as it incorporates debt and cash. Relating this EV to performance, the EV/Revenue multiple stands at 2.34x, and the EV/EBITDA multiple is 9.33x, gauging value against sales and core operational earnings respectively. These ratios help assess the company’s valuation relative to its sales and operating earnings. Key upcoming dates include the next earnings announcement (Est: 2025-03-21) and the ex-dividend date (2020-02-20).

Market Cap $31.32 B
Enterprise Value $58.88 B
EV/Revenue (TTM) 2.34x
EV/EBITDA (TTM) 9.33x
Next Earnings Date 2025-03-21
Ex-Dividend Date 2020-02-20

Profitability Growth

Here we look at CCL’s profit generation and growth trajectory. Profitability is reflected in margins: Gross (54.01%), Operating (9.33%), and Net (8.07%). The company’s recent growth trajectory shows Revenue up 7.50% and Earnings up N/A YoY. Evaluating these margins and growth rates against historical performance 📜 and industry competitors 👥 provides crucial context. These metrics reflect financial success and expansion capacity.

Profit Margin (TTM) 8.07%
Operating Margin (TTM) 9.33%
Gross Margin (TTM) 54.01%
EBITDA Margin (TTM) 25.11%
Revenue (TTM) $25.42 B
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.50%
Gross Profit (TTM) $13.73 B
EBITDA (TTM) $6.38 B
Net Income (TTM) $2.05 B

Analyst Insights

Here’s the consensus from Wall Street analysts on CCL. The average recommendation is ‘Buy’. 24 analyst(s) contributed to this consensus view. Targets average $27.73 (within a range of $21.00 – $34.00). The average target ($27.73) suggests roughly 24.6% potential upside compared to the current price ($22.25). This reflects overall analyst sentiment on the stock’s outlook.

Recommendation: Buy
Mean Target Price: $27.73
High Target Price: $34.00
Low Target Price: $21.00
Number of Analyst Opinions: 24

Technical Analysis Summary

Overall Technical Sentiment: Neutral

This technical overview for CCL (as of 2025-05-23 00:00:00) covers essential trend, momentum, and volatility indicators. Charts offer more detail, but this summarizes the key signals.

  • Trend: Possible Bottoming / Near-term Upside, showing price ($22.25) above the 50-day SMA but still below the 200-day SMA, possibly indicating early signs of a turnaround or a rally within a longer downtrend.
  • Momentum (RSI): ⚠️ 70.1 (Overbought), suggesting the rally might be overextended and vulnerable to a pullback.
  • Momentum (MACD): Line (0.933) below Signal (1.006) (Bearish Crossover), supported by a negative Histogram, signaling growing bearish strength.
  • Volatility (BBands): Price inside the Bands, indicating normal volatility conditions prevail. Keep an eye on potential breakouts or pullbacks to the middle band.
  • Support/Resistance (30d): Potential near-term floor seen at $17.33, ceiling near $23.46. Reactions to these support/resistance levels are key technical events.

Moving Average Details

SMA 20: $21.66 (Above)
SMA 50: $19.47 (Above)
SMA 100: $20.70 (Above)
SMA 200: $23.09 (Below)

Remember, technical analysis looks at past data to find potential patterns; it doesn’t predict the future with certainty. Always use it alongside fundamentals and risk control.

Short Selling Info

This data shows bets against CCL. Relevant short data includes Short % of Float (5.87%) and the Short Ratio (2.70x). The short interest level is reasonable. This indicates a degree of short positioning and carries potential potential for a short squeeze. A low Short Ratio (2.70x) means covering is fast, which might reduce the impact of any squeeze.

Shares Short $63 M
Short Ratio (Days To Cover) 2.70x
Short % of Float 5.87%
Shares Short (Prior Month) $60 M
Short Date 2025-05-15

Stock Price Statistics

This section summarizes CCL’s stock price characteristics, including its sensitivity to market movements, historical trading range, recent price fluctuation intensity, and typical trading volume. Price characteristics are summarized by Beta (2.51x), the annual range ($13.78 to $28.72), recent volatility (36.2%), and typical volume (N/A). Beta (2.51x) suggests the stock is more volatile than the overall market. Recent volatility (36.2%) is moderate, suggesting average price fluctuations.

52 Week High $28.72
52 Week Low $13.78
50 Day MA $19.92
200 Day MA $21.55
Beta 2.51x
Volatility (30d Ann.) 36.2% 📉

Conclusion Outlook

Short-Term Technical Snapshot

  • Overall Technical Sentiment: Neutral
  • Price Trend vs MAs: mixed (above SMA50, below SMA200)
  • ⚠️Momentum (RSI): Overbought (70.1)
  • Momentum (MACD): Bearish Crossover
  • Volatility (BBands): Within Bands
  • 📊Support / Resistance (30d): ~$17.33 / ~$23.46

Longer-Term Fundamental & Forecast Outlook

  • 1-Year Avg. Forecast: ~+40.3% avg. change to ≈$31.22
  • Fundamental Health: Assessment Incomplete (ROE: 25.87%, D/E: 309.25x)
  • Valuation Snapshot: Potentially Attractive (Fwd P/E: 13.44x)
  • Recent Growth (YoY): N/A (Rev: 7.50%, Earn: N/A)
  • Analyst Consensus: Buy (Target: $27.73)

Overall Assessment & Outlook

Overall, CCL combines a technical picture leaning Neutral with a fundamental health assessment of moderate. From a valuation standpoint, it looks Potentially Attractive (Fwd P/E: 13.44x). Looking out one year, the forecast implies potential upside (+40.3%) with an average target near ≈$31.22. Investors should weigh these factors against the inherent market risks and their long-term investment strategy.

Important: This analysis synthesizes model outputs and publicly available data for informational purposes only. It is not investment advice. Market conditions change rapidly. Always conduct thorough independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Risk Factors

Potential investors in CCL should be aware of several risk factors. The following list highlights key considerations based on data and market dynamics, but may not include all possible risks.

  • ⚠️ Broad market volatility affects all stocks, including this one.
  • ⚠️ Performance is subject to risks inherent in the Travel Services industry and Consumer Cyclical sector.
  • ⚠️ The company is exposed to broader economic shifts (e.g., interest rates, inflation).
  • ⚠️ Specific news or developments related to the company could affect its stock.

Report Information and Disclaimer

Data Sources: Yahoo Finance API (via yfinance library), FRED Economic Data (via pandas_datareader or fallback).

Limitations:The accuracy of the data depends on the source providers that include Yahoo Finance and FRED. Technical market indicators always operate with a delay because of their design. This document operates with past data because it have not real-time functionality.

Disclaimer: This report is generated for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice, nor a recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell, or hold any security. All investments involve risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Market conditions are volatile. Readers should conduct their own thorough due diligence and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. The creators of this report assume no liability for any actions taken based on the information provided herein.

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