MARA Stock Analysis for Money Stockers
Introduction
We turn our attention to MARA Holdings, Inc. (MARA), situated in the Capital Markets industry within the Financial Services sector. As of 2025-05-23 00:00:00, the stock is trading at $14.73, reflecting an ambiguous technical signal, trading above the 50-day but below the 200-day SMA. Such positioning often points to a period of consolidation or a potential battle between short-term buyers and long-term sellers. Boasting a market cap around $5.30 B, MARA represents a significant player in its field.
Here, we present a combined analysis of MARA Holdings, Inc. (MARA), blending technical charts, fundamental metrics, and future projections. Our goal is to offer a well-rounded view of its market position, associated risks (review Risk Factors), and what the future might hold.
Company Snapshot
The company primarily focuses on: MARA Holdings, Inc. operates as a digital asset technology company in the United States. It also provides technology solutions to optimize data center operations, such as liquid immersion cooling and firmware for bitcoin miners. The company was formerly known as Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to MARA Holdings, Inc. in August 2024. MARA Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 …
Metrics Summary
The following data points provide a summary of MARA’s current status. The stock trades at $14.73, with models forecasting a 1-year average target near $20.54 (+39.4%). Technical indicators currently reflect a Neutral sentiment (Above SMA 50 / Below SMA 200). Recent volatility (59.3%) quantifies price fluctuations. The following sections provide deeper analysis into the underlying technicals and fundamentals.
Detailed Forecast Table
Here’s the breakdown of the month forecast for MARA ($0.00 to $48.22 overall range). The table shows projected price bands, potential ROI against the current price, and the resulting model signal per period.
Over the forecast horizon (2025-05 to 2026-05), MARA’s price is projected by the model to fluctuate between approximately $0.00 and $48.22.
The projected price range remains relatively consistent (from $15.21 – $15.21 to $2.03 – $41.19), implying stable forecast uncertainty.
Month (Period) | Min. Price | Avg. Price | Max. Price | Potential ROI vs Current ($14.73) | Model Signal |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-05 | $15.21 | $15.21 | $15.21 | ▲ 3.3% | Consider Buy |
2025-06 | $0.00 | $17.15 | $40.82 | ▲ 16.4% | Consider Buy |
2025-07 | $0.00 | $17.75 | $36.34 | ▲ 20.5% | Consider Buy |
2025-08 | $6.87 | $20.37 | $36.38 | ▲ 38.3% | Consider Buy |
2025-09 | $7.17 | $22.15 | $35.09 | ▲ 50.4% | Consider Buy |
2025-10 | $7.54 | $23.31 | $40.39 | ▲ 58.3% | Consider Buy |
2025-11 | $7.50 | $22.16 | $45.02 | ▲ 50.4% | Consider Buy |
2025-12 | $8.00 | $25.89 | $45.23 | ▲ 75.7% | Consider Buy |
2026-01 | $9.64 | $29.23 | $48.22 | ▲ 98.4% | Consider Buy |
2026-02 | $3.01 | $27.15 | $43.91 | ▲ 84.3% | Consider Buy |
2026-03 | $5.26 | $25.52 | $44.57 | ▲ 73.2% | Consider Buy |
2026-04 | $0.00 | $21.62 | $45.36 | ▲ 46.8% | Consider Buy |
2026-05 | $2.03 | $20.54 | $41.19 | ▲ 39.4% | Consider Buy |
Forecasts are model-based estimates, inherently uncertain, and subject to change based on evolving data and market conditions. They do not guarantee future prices.
Total Valuation
Moving beyond simple market cap, total valuation metrics provide deeper insight. Enterprise Value (EV) of N/A provides a more comprehensive measure of MARA’s total worth than market cap alone, as it incorporates debt and cash. Key ratios derived from EV include EV/Revenue (11.67x) and EV/EBITDA (-34.03x), which assess valuation relative to top-line revenue and operating profit (pre-deductions). These figures help evaluate MARA’s price relative to its business scale and operational results. Note the upcoming earnings (Est: 2025-05-08) and ex-dividend (N/A) dates.
Market Cap | $5.30 B |
Enterprise Value | $7.74 B |
EV/Revenue (TTM) | 11.67x |
EV/EBITDA (TTM) | -34.03x |
Next Earnings Date | 2025-05-08 |
Profitability Growth
This section examines MARA’s ability to generate profit and expand its business. Key profitability metrics include Gross Margin (36.26%), Operating Margin (-319.78%), and Net Profit Margin (-46.68%). The company’s recent growth trajectory shows Revenue up 29.50% and Earnings up N/A YoY. Evaluating these margins and growth rates against historical performance 📜 and industry competitors 👥 provides crucial context. These are key indicators of financial performance and future potential.
Profit Margin (TTM) | -46.68% |
Operating Margin (TTM) | -319.78% |
Gross Margin (TTM) | 36.26% |
EBITDA Margin (TTM) | -34.31% |
Revenue (TTM) | $705.06 M |
Revenue Growth (YoY) | 29.50% |
Gross Profit (TTM) | $255.63 M |
EBITDA (TTM) | $-241.88 M |
Net Income (TTM) | $-329.12 M |
Analyst Insights
Here’s the consensus from Wall Street analysts on MARA. The average recommendation is ‘Buy’. 13 analyst(s) contributed to this consensus view. Targets average $20.27 (within a range of $9.50 – $32.00). Based on the mean target ($20.27), this implies a potential upside of ~37.6% from the current price ($14.73). This reflects overall analyst sentiment on the stock’s outlook.
Technical Analysis Summary
This technical overview for MARA (as of 2025-05-23 00:00:00) covers essential trend, momentum, and volatility indicators. Charts offer more detail, but this summarizes the key signals.
- Trend: Short-term Bullish vs Long-term Bearish, as the price ($14.73) crosses the 50d SMA but faces resistance near the 200d, hinting at a possible reversal attempt.
- Momentum (RSI): ● 35.4 (Neutral), showing momentum is not at an extreme, offering few immediate reversal signals.
- Momentum (MACD): ▼ Line (0.490) below Signal (0.639) (Bearish Crossover), with negative Histogram, confirming strengthening bearish momentum.
- Volatility (BBands): ● Price between the Bands, suggesting price is within its recent statistical boundaries. Watch for moves towards the band edges or potential mean reversion.
- Support/Resistance (30d): Immediate support is estimated near $12.63, with resistance around $17.24. Behavior at these 30-day levels is critical for near-term direction.
Moving Average Details
Technical analysis uses past price and volume data to identify potential future trends but offers no guarantees. Combine with fundamental analysis and risk management.
Short Selling Info
Short selling data provides a measure of negative sentiment or bets against MARA. Relevant short data includes Short % of Float (34.07%) and the Short Ratio (2.50x). The current level is considered significant. This implies strong negative bets and suggests high short squeeze potential. The low Days to Cover (2.50x) indicates shorts could cover relatively quickly, potentially limiting squeeze duration.
Shares Short | $91 M |
Short Ratio (Days To Cover) | 2.50x |
Short % of Float | 34.07% |
Shares Short (Prior Month) | $94 M |
Short Date | 2025-04-30 |
Stock Price Statistics
This section summarizes MARA’s stock price characteristics, including its sensitivity to market movements, historical trading range, recent price fluctuation intensity, and typical trading volume. Understanding price action involves Beta (6.84x), the 52-week span ($9.81 – $30.28), current volatility (59.3%), and trading volume (3m Avg: N/A). Beta (6.84x) suggests the stock is more volatile than the overall market. The recent volatility (59.3%) is high, indicating significant price swings.
52 Week High | $30.28 |
52 Week Low | $9.81 |
50 Day MA | $13.64 |
200 Day MA | $16.94 |
Beta | 6.84x |
Volatility (30d Ann.) | 59.3% 📉 |
Conclusion Outlook
Short-Term Technical Snapshot
- ●Overall Technical Sentiment: Neutral
- ●Price Trend vs MAs: mixed (above SMA50, below SMA200)
- ●Momentum (RSI): Neutral (35.4)
- ▼Momentum (MACD): Bearish Crossover
- ●Volatility (BBands): Within Bands
- 📊Support / Resistance (30d): ~$12.63 / ~$17.24
Longer-Term Fundamental & Forecast Outlook
- ▲1-Year Avg. Forecast: ~+39.4% avg. change to ≈$20.54
- ●Fundamental Health: Assessment Incomplete (ROE: -10.62%, D/E: 70.71x)
- ⚠️Valuation Snapshot: Appears Elevated (Fwd P/E: 376.76x)
- ●Recent Growth (YoY): N/A (Rev: 29.50%, Earn: N/A)
- ▲Analyst Consensus: Buy (Target: $20.27)
Overall Assessment & Outlook
Balancing the current technical stance against the fundamental prospects, MARA exhibits Neutral technical sentiment alongside moderate fundamental health. From a valuation standpoint, it looks Appears Elevated (Fwd P/E: 376.76x). Models project a 1-year path indicating potential upside (+39.4%), targeting ≈$20.54. Careful consideration of these points relative to identified risks and their individual investment horizon.
Reminder: The following assessment is based on model data and public information, intended for informational use. It is not investment advice. Market conditions change rapidly. Always conduct thorough independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Risk Factors
Potential investors in MARA should be aware of several risk factors. The following list highlights key considerations based on data and market dynamics, but may not include all possible risks.
- ⚠️ High Volatility: Recent annualized volatility (59.3%) suggests significant price swings.
- ⚠️ General market downturns pose a risk to the share price.
- ⚠️ Performance is subject to risks inherent in the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector.
- ⚠️ Macroeconomic factors like inflation and interest rate changes present potential risks.
- ⚠️ Specific news or developments related to the company could affect its stock.