Is TMUS a Buy? Money Stockers 2025-2026 Stock Prediction

TMUS Stock Analysis for Money Stockers

Introduction

Here, we examine T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS), operating in the Communication Services sector’s Telecom Services space. On 2025-05-20, TMUS’s shares were valued at $241.21, reflecting a technically weaker stance, positioned under its main moving averages. Trading beneath these key SMAs usually points towards negative momentum in the near to medium term. Valued by the market at roughly $274.87 B, TMUS represents a significant player in its field.

Here, we present a combined analysis of T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS), blending technical charts, fundamental metrics, and future projections. Our goal is to offer a well-rounded view of its market position, associated risks (review Risk Factors), and what the future might hold.

Company Snapshot

Its business model centers around: T-Mobile US, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides wireless communications services in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the United States Virgin Islands. The company offers voice, messaging, and data services to postpaid, prepaid, and wholesale and other services customers. It also provides wireless devices, including smartphones, wearables, tablets, home broadband routers, and other m…

Metrics Summary

Current Price$241.21
1-Month Forecast$242.29
1-Year Forecast$279.00 (+15.7%)
Technical Sentiment Neutral-Bullish
Volatility (30d Ann.)40.6% 📉
Below SMA 50$250.24
Below SMA 200$242.47
Green Days (30d)18/30 (60%)

This snapshot summarizes TMUS’s current position. With a price of $241.21, the 1-year projection aims for approximately $279.00 (+15.7%). Sentiment derived from technicals is Neutral-Bullish (Below SMA 50 / Below SMA 200). Price swing intensity is measured by volatility at 40.6%. We delve into more specific technical and fundamental analysis in the subsequent sections.

Detailed Forecast Table

The detailed month forecast below outlines the model’s expectations for TMUS’s price evolution ($217.95 to $299.54). It includes projected ranges (Min, Avg, Max), potential ROI based on the average projection versus the current price, and a derived model signal for each period.

Over the forecast horizon (2025-05 to 2026-05), TMUS’s price is projected by the model to fluctuate between approximately $217.95 and $299.54.

The model maintains a consistent level of confidence, reflected in the stable forecast range ($244.62 – $244.62 to $257.11 – $293.30).

Month (Period) Min. Price Avg. Price Max. Price Potential ROI vs Current ($241.21) Model Signal
2025-05 $244.62 $244.62 $244.62 1.4% Hold/Neutral
2025-06 $217.95 $235.09 $252.02 -2.5% Consider Short
2025-07 $222.70 $242.29 $257.06 0.4% Hold/Neutral
2025-08 $235.42 $250.15 $271.15 3.7% Consider Buy
2025-09 $236.65 $251.48 $266.62 4.3% Consider Buy
2025-10 $238.05 $251.07 $271.82 4.1% Consider Buy
2025-11 $242.31 $260.26 $281.90 7.9% Consider Buy
2025-12 $250.22 $266.61 $280.63 10.5% Consider Buy
2026-01 $244.99 $262.70 $282.78 8.9% Consider Buy
2026-02 $248.54 $267.02 $284.81 10.7% Consider Buy
2026-03 $252.90 $276.42 $292.99 14.6% Consider Buy
2026-04 $256.77 $279.98 $299.54 16.1% Consider Buy
2026-05 $257.11 $279.00 $293.30 15.7% Consider Buy

Forecasts are model-based estimates, inherently uncertain, and subject to change based on evolving data and market conditions. They do not guarantee future prices.

Total Valuation

Total valuation metrics offer a broader perspective beyond market capitalization. Looking beyond market cap, the Enterprise Value (EV), currently $384.56 B, offers a broader view of TMUS’s value by including debt and cash. The EV/Revenue ratio (4.63x) compares this total value to sales, while EV/EBITDA (12.12x) relates it to operating profitability before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. These ratios help assess the company’s valuation relative to its sales and operating earnings. Key upcoming dates include the next earnings announcement (Est: 2025-04-24) and the ex-dividend date (2025-05-30).

Market Cap $274.87 B
Enterprise Value (EV TTM) $384.56 B
EV/Revenue (TTM) 4.63x
EV/EBITDA (TTM) 12.12x
Next Earnings Date 2025-04-24
Ex-Dividend Date 2025-05-30

Profitability Growth

This section examines TMUS’s ability to generate profit and expand its business. Profitability is reflected in margins: Gross (63.85%), Operating (22.98%), and Net (14.41%). Recent expansion is reflected in Year-over-Year Revenue Growth (6.60%) and Earnings Growth (29.00%). Evaluating these margins and growth rates against historical performance 📜 and industry competitors 👥 provides crucial context. These are key indicators of financial performance and future potential.

Profit Margin (TTM) 14.41%
Operating Margin (TTM) 22.98%
Gross Margin (TTM) 63.85%
EBITDA Margin (TTM) 38.22%
Revenue (TTM) $82.69 B
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.60%
Gross Profit (TTM) $52.80 B
EBITDA (TTM) $31.60 B
Net Income (TTM) $11.92 B
Earnings Growth (YoY) 29.00%

Analyst Insights

Here’s the consensus from Wall Street analysts on TMUS. The average recommendation is ‘Buy’. Data reflects input from 27 analyst(s). Targets average $269.22 (within a range of $202.99 – $305.00). Based on the mean target ($269.22), this implies a potential upside of ~11.6% from the current price ($241.21). This reflects overall analyst sentiment on the stock’s outlook.

Recommendation: Buy
Mean Target Price: $269.22
High Target Price: $305.00
Low Target Price: $202.99
Number of Analyst Opinions: 27

Technical Analysis Summary

Overall Technical Sentiment: Neutral-Bullish

The following technical analysis summary for TMUS, based on data up to 2025-05-20, outlines key indicators related to trend, momentum, and volatility. Detailed charts typically provide visual confirmation of these signals.

  • Trend: Downtrend Intact, with price ($241.21) below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, signaling prevailing weakness.
  • Momentum (RSI): 29.4 (Depressed), potentially signaling that the downside is overdone, setting up for a recovery.
  • Momentum (MACD): Line (-2.474) above Signal (-2.840) (Bullish Crossover), and positive Histogram reinforces the upward momentum.
  • Volatility (BBands): Price within Bands, suggesting price is within its recent statistical boundaries. Watch for moves towards the band edges or potential mean reversion.
  • Support/Resistance (30d): Key near-term levels identified around $230.64 (support) and $263.79 (resistance). Price action near these zones often dictates the next directional move.

Moving Average Details

SMA 20: $244.62 (Below)
SMA 50: $250.24 (Below)
SMA 100: $256.57 (Below)
SMA 200: $242.47 (Below)

Technical signals are based on historical data and aren’t foolproof predictors. Integrate technical views with fundamental research and sound risk management.

Short Selling Info

Short selling data provides a measure of negative sentiment or bets against TMUS. Key short interest indicators include Short % of Float (2.60%) and the Short Ratio (2.30x). The current level is considered low. This implies little negative pressure from shorts and suggests limited short squeeze potential. With only 2.30x Days to Cover, shorts can exit rapidly, possibly capping squeeze momentum.

Shares Short $12 M
Short Ratio (Days To Cover) 2.30x
Short % of Float 2.60%
Shares Short (Prior Month) $13 M
Short Date 2025-04-30

Stock Price Statistics

This section summarizes TMUS’s stock price characteristics, including its sensitivity to market movements, historical trading range, recent price fluctuation intensity, and typical trading volume. Price characteristics are summarized by Beta (0.68x), the annual range ($164.76 to $276.49), recent volatility (40.6%), and typical volume (4,482,065 avg over 3m). Beta (0.68x) indicates lower volatility relative to the market. The recent volatility (40.6%) is high, indicating significant price swings.

Beta 0.68x
52 Week Change 45.07%
S&P500 52-Week Change 10.13%
52 Week High $276.49
52 Week Low $164.76
50-Day Moving Average $252.92
200-Day Moving Average $231.74
Average Volume (10 day) 4,348,530
Average Volume (3 month) 4,482,065
Volatility (30d Ann.) 40.6% 📉

Conclusion Outlook

Short-Term Technical Snapshot

  • Overall Technical Sentiment: Neutral-Bullish
  • Price Trend vs MAs: bearish (below SMA50/200)
  • Momentum (RSI): Oversold (29.4)
  • Momentum (MACD): Bullish Crossover
  • Volatility (BBands): Within Bands
  • 📊Support / Resistance (30d): ~$230.64 / ~$263.79

Longer-Term Fundamental & Forecast Outlook

  • 1-Year Avg. Forecast: ~+15.7% avg. change to ≈$279.00
  • Fundamental Health: Assessment Incomplete (ROE: 19.35%, D/E: 199.15x)
  • Valuation Snapshot: Appears Moderate (Fwd P/E: 22.69x), P/FCF: 30.46x 💵
  • 📈Recent Growth (YoY): Positive (Rev: 6.60%, Earn: 29.00%)
  • Analyst Consensus: Buy (Target: $269.22)
  • 💸Dividend: 146.00% Yield (Payout: 29.88%)

Overall Assessment & Outlook

Synthesizing the data, TMUS currently shows Neutral-Bullish technicals coupled with moderate fundamentals. Valuation appears Appears Moderate (Fwd P/E: 22.69x), P/FCF: 30.46x 💵. The 1-year forecast model suggests potential upside (+15.7%) towards ≈$279.00. Decision-making should factor in these elements against the potential risks outlined earlier and their strategic goals.

Important: This analysis synthesizes model outputs and publicly available data for informational purposes only. It is not investment advice. Market conditions change rapidly. Always conduct thorough independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Risk Factors

Investing in TMUS involves various risks. This section outlines potential factors identified through data analysis and general market considerations. It is not exhaustive.

  • ⚠️ High Volatility: Recent annualized volatility (40.6%) suggests significant price swings.
  • ⚠️ General market downturns pose a risk to the share price.
  • ⚠️ Performance is subject to risks inherent in the Telecom Services industry and Communication Services sector.
  • ⚠️ Macroeconomic factors like inflation and interest rate changes present potential risks.
  • ⚠️ Unforeseen company events or news can impact the price.

Report Information and Disclaimer

Data Sources: Yahoo Finance API (via yfinance library), FRED Economic Data (via pandas_datareader or fallback).

Limitations:The accuracy of the data depends on the source providers that include Yahoo Finance and FRED. Technical market indicators always operate with a delay because of their design. This document operates with past data because it have not real-time functionality.

Disclaimer: This report is generated for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice, nor a recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell, or hold any security. All investments involve risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Market conditions are volatile. Readers should conduct their own thorough due diligence and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. The creators of this report assume no liability for any actions taken based on the information provided herein.

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