Is AES a Smart Investment Now?

This snapshot summarizes AES’s current position. With a price of $10.09, the 1-year projection aims for approximately $7.72 (-23.5%). Technical indicators currently reflect a Neutral sentiment (Below SMA 50 / Below SMA 200). Price swing intensity is measured by volatility at 53.5%. The following sections provide deeper analysis into the underlying technicals and fundamentals.

The detailed month forecast below outlines the model’s expectations for AES’s price evolution ($4.66 to $13.20). It includes projected ranges (Min, Avg, Max), potential ROI based on the average projection versus the current price, and a derived model signal for each period.

Over the forecast horizon (2025-05 to 2026-05), AES’s price is projected by the model to fluctuate between approximately $4.66 and $13.20.

The projected price range remains relatively consistent (from $10.81 – $10.81 to $4.73 – $10.08), implying stable forecast uncertainty.

Total valuation metrics offer a broader perspective beyond market capitalization. Enterprise Value (EV) of N/A provides a more comprehensive measure of AES’s total worth than market cap alone, as it incorporates debt and cash. Key ratios derived from EV include EV/Revenue (3.49x) and EV/EBITDA (13.55x), which assess valuation relative to top-line revenue and operating profit (pre-deductions). These ratios help assess the company’s valuation relative to its sales and operating earnings. Key upcoming dates include the next earnings announcement (Est: 2025-05-01) and the ex-dividend date (2025-05-01).

This section examines AES’s ability to generate profit and expand its business. Key profitability metrics include Gross Margin (17.62%), Operating Margin (12.44%), and Net Profit Margin (10.67%). The company’s recent growth trajectory shows Revenue up -5.20% and Earnings up -89.20% YoY. Context for these margin and growth numbers comes from comparing them to historical data 📜 and industry rivals 👥. These are key indicators of financial performance and future potential.

This section summarizes the collective view of professional analysts covering AES. The consensus recommendation is ‘Buy’. 13 analyst(s) contributed to this consensus view. The mean price target is $13.71, with individual targets ranging from $5.00 – $23.00. The average target ($13.71) suggests roughly 35.9% potential upside compared to the current price ($10.09). This provides a gauge of Wall Street sentiment regarding the stock’s potential.

This technical overview for AES (as of 2025-05-30 00:00:00) covers essential trend, momentum, and volatility indicators. Charts offer more detail, but this summarizes the key signals.

• Trend: Negative Trend Alignment, with price ($10.09) below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, signaling prevailing weakness.
• Momentum (RSI): ➕ 22.0 (Depressed), potentially indicating the sell-off is exhausted.

Short selling data provides a measure of negative sentiment or bets against AES. Key short interest indicators include Short % of Float (6.19%) and the Short Ratio (2.50x). The current level is considered medium. This implies moderate bearish sentiment and suggests some short squeeze potential. The low Days to Cover (2.50x) indicates shorts could cover relatively quickly, potentially limiting squeeze duration.

This section summarizes AES’s stock price characteristics, including its sensitivity to market movements, historical trading range, recent price fluctuation intensity, and typical trading volume. Key price behavior metrics include Beta (0.94x), the 52-week trading range ($9.46 – $20.63), recent short-term volatility (53.5%), and average trading liquidity (3m Avg Vol: N/A). Beta (0.94x) implies the stock’s volatility generally tracks the broader market. The recent volatility (53.5%) is high, indicating significant price swings.

Overall Assessment & Outlook

Overall, AES combines a technical picture leaning Neutral with a fundamental health assessment of moderate. The current valuation is assessed as Potentially Attractive (Fwd P/E: 5.36x). Looking out one year, the forecast implies potential downside (-23.5%) with an average target near ≈$7.72. Decision-making should factor in these elements against their personal risk tolerance and investment timeline.

Potential investors in AES should be aware of several risk factors. The following list highlights key considerations based on data and market dynamics, but may not include all possible risks.