INTC Stock Analysis for Money Stockers
Introduction
We turn our attention to Intel Corporation (INTC), situated in the Semiconductors industry within the Technology sector. As of 2025-05-23 00:00:00, the stock is trading at $20.05, reflecting a potentially challenging technical posture below key moving averages. This position below both the 50-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) often signals short-to-medium term weakness. Boasting a market cap around $85.39 B, INTC represents a significant player in its field.
Here, we present a combined analysis of Intel Corporation (INTC), blending technical charts, fundamental metrics, and future projections. Our goal is to offer a well-rounded view of its market position, associated risks (review Risk Factors), and what the future might hold.
Company Snapshot
The company primarily focuses on: Intel Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells computing and related products and services worldwide. The company offers microprocessor and chipset, stand-alone SoC, and multichip package; Computer Systems and Devices; hardware products comprising CPUs, graphics processing units (GPUs), accelerators, and field programmable gate arrays (FPGAs); and memory and storage, connect…
Metrics Summary
Here’s a quick overview of INTC’s key metrics. With a price of $20.05, the 1-year projection aims for approximately $23.31 (+16.3%). Sentiment derived from technicals is Neutral (Below SMA 50 / Below SMA 200). Recent volatility (37.5%) quantifies price fluctuations. Further details on the technical and fundamental aspects are explored below.
Detailed Forecast Table
The detailed month forecast below outlines the model’s expectations for INTC’s price evolution ($12.74 to $33.97). It includes projected ranges (Min, Avg, Max), potential ROI based on the average projection versus the current price, and a derived model signal for each period.
Over the forecast horizon (2025-05 to 2026-05), INTC’s price is projected by the model to fluctuate between approximately $12.74 and $33.97.
The model maintains a consistent level of confidence, reflected in the stable forecast range ($21.06 – $21.06 to $16.13 – $30.98).
| Month (Period) | Min. Price | Avg. Price | Max. Price | Potential ROI vs Current ($20.05) | Model Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05 | $21.06 | $21.06 | $21.06 | ▲ 5.0% | Consider Buy |
| 2025-06 | $18.29 | $25.86 | $33.75 | ▲ 29.0% | Consider Buy |
| 2025-07 | $16.90 | $25.34 | $33.97 | ▲ 26.4% | Consider Buy |
| 2025-08 | $17.40 | $24.28 | $33.88 | ▲ 21.1% | Consider Buy |
| 2025-09 | $13.61 | $23.38 | $30.31 | ▲ 16.6% | Consider Buy |
| 2025-10 | $13.49 | $23.19 | $30.60 | ▲ 15.6% | Consider Buy |
| 2025-11 | $15.69 | $23.36 | $31.34 | ▲ 16.5% | Consider Buy |
| 2025-12 | $17.33 | $23.50 | $32.71 | ▲ 17.2% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-01 | $15.36 | $23.70 | $32.17 | ▲ 18.2% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-02 | $16.44 | $23.98 | $31.16 | ▲ 19.6% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-03 | $14.51 | $23.93 | $31.19 | ▲ 19.4% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-04 | $12.74 | $23.74 | $31.97 | ▲ 18.4% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-05 | $16.13 | $23.31 | $30.98 | ▲ 16.3% | Consider Buy |
Forecasts are model-based estimates, inherently uncertain, and subject to change based on evolving data and market conditions. They do not guarantee future prices.
Total Valuation
Moving beyond simple market cap, total valuation metrics provide deeper insight. At N/A, the Enterprise Value (EV) presents a fuller picture of INTC’s aggregate value, accounting for both equity and net debt. Key ratios derived from EV include EV/Revenue (2.28x) and EV/EBITDA (14.91x), which assess valuation relative to top-line revenue and operating profit (pre-deductions). These figures help evaluate INTC’s price relative to its business scale and operational results. Note the upcoming earnings (Est: 2025-04-24) and ex-dividend (2024-08-07) dates.
| Market Cap | $85.39 B |
| Enterprise Value | $114.49 B |
| EV/Revenue (TTM) | 2.28x |
| EV/EBITDA (TTM) | 14.91x |
| Next Earnings Date | 2025-04-24 |
| Ex-Dividend Date | 2024-08-07 |
Profitability Growth
This section examines INTC’s ability to generate profit and expand its business. Profitability is reflected in margins: Gross (33.12%), Operating (-0.24%), and Net (-36.19%). The company’s recent growth trajectory shows Revenue up -0.40% and Earnings up N/A YoY. Benchmarking these profit and growth figures against the past 📜 and peers 👥 is vital for interpretation. These are key indicators of financial performance and future potential.
| Profit Margin (TTM) | -36.19% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | -0.24% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 33.12% |
| EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 15.30% |
| Revenue (TTM) | $53.04 B |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -0.40% |
| Gross Profit (TTM) | $17.57 B |
| EBITDA (TTM) | $8.11 B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-19.20 B |
Analyst Insights
This section summarizes the collective view of professional analysts covering INTC. The consensus recommendation is ‘Hold’. 35 analyst(s) contributed to this consensus view. The mean price target is $21.39, with individual targets ranging from $14.00 – $28.30. The average target ($21.39) suggests roughly 6.7% potential upside compared to the current price ($20.05). This provides a gauge of Wall Street sentiment regarding the stock’s potential.
Technical Analysis Summary
This technical overview for INTC (as of 2025-05-23 00:00:00) covers essential trend, momentum, and volatility indicators. Charts offer more detail, but this summarizes the key signals.
- Trend: Downtrend Intact, since the price ($20.05) is beneath both major SMAs, confirming negative momentum.
- Momentum (RSI): ● 32.6 (Neutral), indicating balanced momentum with no immediate overbought/oversold pressure.
- Momentum (MACD): ▼ Bearish Stance (Line: 0.039 < Signal: 0.213), and negative Histogram reinforces the downward momentum.
- Volatility (BBands): ● Price within Bands, suggesting price is within its recent statistical boundaries. Keep an eye on potential breakouts or pullbacks to the middle band.
- Support/Resistance (30d): Potential near-term floor seen at $19.34, ceiling near $22.88. Reactions to these support/resistance levels are key technical events.
Moving Average Details
Remember, technical analysis looks at past data to find potential patterns; it doesn’t predict the future with certainty. Always use it alongside fundamentals and risk control.
Short Selling Info
This data shows bets against INTC. Key short interest indicators include Short % of Float (2.82%) and the Short Ratio (1.60x). The short interest level is minimal. This indicates little negative pressure from shorts and carries minimal potential for a short squeeze. The low Days to Cover (1.60x) indicates shorts could cover relatively quickly, potentially limiting squeeze duration.
| Shares Short | $123 M |
| Short Ratio (Days To Cover) | 1.60x |
| Short % of Float | 2.82% |
| Shares Short (Prior Month) | $115 M |
| Short Date | 2025-05-15 |
Stock Price Statistics
This section summarizes INTC’s stock price characteristics, including its sensitivity to market movements, historical trading range, recent price fluctuation intensity, and typical trading volume. Price characteristics are summarized by Beta (1.11x), the annual range ($17.67 to $37.16), recent volatility (37.5%), and typical volume (N/A). Beta (1.11x) implies the stock’s volatility generally tracks the broader market. Recent volatility (37.5%) is moderate, suggesting average price fluctuations.
| 52 Week High | $37.16 |
| 52 Week Low | $17.67 |
| 50 Day MA | $21.03 |
| 200 Day MA | $21.64 |
| Beta | 1.11x |
| Volatility (30d Ann.) | 37.5% 📉 |
Conclusion Outlook
Short-Term Technical Snapshot
- ●Overall Technical Sentiment: Neutral
- ▼Price Trend vs MAs: bearish (below SMA50/200)
- ●Momentum (RSI): Neutral (32.6)
- ▼Momentum (MACD): Bearish Crossover
- ●Volatility (BBands): Within Bands
- 📊Support / Resistance (30d): ~$19.34 / ~$22.88
Longer-Term Fundamental & Forecast Outlook
- ▲1-Year Avg. Forecast: ~+16.3% avg. change to ≈$23.31
- ●Fundamental Health: Assessment Incomplete (ROE: -18.13%, D/E: 47.13x)
- ●Valuation Snapshot: Appears Moderate (Fwd P/E: 20.18x)
- ●Recent Growth (YoY): N/A (Rev: -0.40%, Earn: N/A)
- ●Analyst Consensus: Hold (Target: $21.39)
Overall Assessment & Outlook
Synthesizing the data, INTC currently shows Neutral technicals coupled with moderate fundamentals. Valuation appears Appears Moderate (Fwd P/E: 20.18x). Looking out one year, the forecast implies potential upside (+16.3%) with an average target near ≈$23.31. It’s crucial to evaluate these findings in the context of their personal risk tolerance and investment timeline.
Important: This analysis synthesizes model outputs and publicly available data for informational purposes only. It is not investment advice. Market conditions change rapidly. Always conduct thorough independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Risk Factors
Investing in INTC involves various risks. This section outlines potential factors identified through data analysis and general market considerations. It is not exhaustive.
- ⚠️ General market downturns pose a risk to the share price.
- ⚠️ Factors specific to the Semiconductors industry or Technology sector can affect performance.
- ⚠️ The company is exposed to broader economic shifts (e.g., interest rates, inflation).
- ⚠️ Specific news or developments related to the company could affect its stock.