Analyst View on JPM: Key Predictions and Price Forecast 2025-26

If you are looking for JPM stock price prediction with detailed technical, fundamental, stock forecast analysis. you are at right place. Here, we have analyzed JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), a major player in the Banks – Diversified industry within the Financial Services sector. As of May 06, 2025, JPM trades at $249.25, reflecting its current strength relative to its moving averages. The company holds a market capitalization of approximately $704.42 B.

This detailed analytical report aims to predict stock prices along with technical examinations while providing future forecasting for 2025-2026. This report combines both historical price-related technical indicators and fundamental data examination for creating an extensive market performance forecast.

Brief Overview

JPMorgan Chase & Co. operates as a financial services company worldwide. It operates through three segments: Consumer & Community Banking, Commercial & Investment Bank, and Asset & Wealth Management. The company offers deposit, investment and lending products, cash management, and payments and servi…

Key Metrics and Forecast Summary

Current Price
$249.25
1-Month Forecast
$251.04
1-Year Forecast
$350.52 (+40.6%)
Overall Sentiment
Strong Bullish
Volatility (Ann.)
31.9%
vs SMA 50
$237.60
vs SMA 200
$243.53
Green Days (30d)
11/29 (38%)

The 1-Year forecast of $350.52 (+40.6%) suggests modest potential upside. The 31.9% annualized volatility indicates moderate risk (price fluctuation). Price is above both SMA50 ($237.60) and SMA200 ($243.53), signaling bullish trends.

Price Forecast Chart

JPM Price Forecast Chart (Embedded)

Recent actual average prices vs. forecasted price range (Low, Average, High).

Detailed Forecast Table

The table below outlines the forecasted price range (Minimum, Average, Maximum) for JPM stock on a month basis.
‘Potential ROI’ (Return on Investment) is calculated by comparing the forecasted ‘Average’ price against the current stock price ($249.25).
‘Action Signal’ provides a simplified interpretation based on this ROI: ‘Buy’ if ROI > +2%, ‘Short’ if ROI < -2%, and ‘Hold’ otherwise. The signals originate from the forecast model prediction data exclusively.

Over the forecast period, the price is projected to fluctuate between approximately $251.04 and $413.82.

The widening forecast range from $251.04 – $251.04 initially to $298.54 – $412.26 towards the end of the forecast period reflects increasing uncertainty or expected volatility over time.

Month Min. Price Avg. Price Max. Price Potential ROI Action Signal
2025-05 $251.04 $251.04 $251.04 0.7% Hold
2025-06 $268.18 $276.98 $289.14 11.1% Buy
2025-07 $268.33 $280.92 $292.37 12.7% Buy
2025-08 $276.73 $287.75 $300.71 15.4% Buy
2025-09 $279.46 $293.02 $308.61 17.6% Buy
2025-10 $282.24 $298.14 $322.49 19.6% Buy
2025-11 $292.76 $314.38 $344.76 26.1% Buy
2025-12 $308.26 $330.08 $366.17 32.4% Buy
2026-01 $309.29 $341.09 $386.96 36.8% Buy
2026-02 $316.22 $354.04 $409.82 42.0% Buy
2026-03 $307.03 $357.29 $411.25 43.3% Buy
2026-04 $299.94 $350.52 $413.82 40.6% Buy
2026-05 $298.54 $351.13 $412.26 40.9% Buy

Company Profile

Sector:Financial Services
Industry:Banks – Diversified
Market Cap:$704.42 B
Employees:318,477

Business Summary

JPMorgan Chase & Co. operates as a financial services company worldwide. It operates through three segments: Consumer & Community Banking, Commercial & Investment Bank, and Asset & Wealth Management. The company offers deposit, investment and lending products, cash management, and payments and services; mortgage origination and servicing activities; residential mortgages and home equity loans; and credit cards, auto loans, leases, and travel services to consumers and small businesses through bank branches, ATMs, and digital and telephone banking. It also provides investment banking products and services, including corporate strategy and structure advisory, and equity and debt market capital-raising services, as well as loan origination and syndication; payments; and cash and derivative instruments, risk management solutions, prime brokerage, and research, as well as offers securities services, including custody, fund services, liquidity, and trading services, and data solutions products. In addition, the company provides financial solutions, including lending, payments, investment banking, and asset management to small and midsized companies, local governments, nonprofit clients, and municipalities, as well as commercial real estate clients. Further, it offers multi-asset investment management solutions in equities, fixed income, alternatives, and money market funds to institutional clients and retail investors; and retirement products and services, brokerage, custody, estate planning, lending, deposits, and investment management products to high net worth clients. The company was founded in 1799 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Total Valuation

Total valuation metrics provide a broader view of the company’s worth, including debt and cash.

With an Enterprise Value of $301.99 B against its Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) revenue, JPM’s EV/Revenue ratio stands at 1.91x, which is currently below the estimated industry average (~2.5x), potentially suggesting undervaluation relative to revenue.

Important upcoming dates: Next Earnings around 2025-07-15, Last Ex-Dividend Date was 2025-04-04.

Market Cap $704.42 B
Enterprise Value (EV TTM) $301.99 B
EV/Revenue (TTM) 1.91x
Next Earnings Date 2025-07-15
Ex-Dividend Date 2025-04-04

Valuation Metrics

Stock valuation metrics enable investors to determine the price value relationship between stock market worth and earnings along with sales, book value and anticipated growth potential.

Forward P/E of 15.14x Price/Book of 2.13x Mentoring these financial metrics to industry standards as well historical company values generates deeper understanding.

Note: P/FCF (Price to Free Cash Flow) of N/A is another key valuation indicator. EV/EBITDA is often used for comparing companies with different capital structures.

Trailing P/E 12.44x
Forward P/E 15.14x
Price/Sales (TTM) 4.18x
Price/Book (MRQ) 2.13x
EV/Revenue (TTM) 1.91x

Financial Health

Companies need financial health indicators to determine their capability of handling short-term financial commitments (liquidity) and their ability to repay long-term debt (solvency) as well as their equity and asset return ratios.

  • Liquidity assessment requires Current/Quick Ratio data.
  • Return on Equity (ROE) of 17.35% indicates the company’s profitability relative to shareholder investments.
  • Operating Cash Flow (TTM) stands at $-139.69 B, demonstrating cash generated from core operations.

These metrics act as point-in-time measurements yet understanding long-term trends delivers better understanding. ROA (Return on Assets) does not appear frequently in these financial reports.

Return on Equity (ROE TTM) 17.35%
Return on Assets (ROA TTM) 1.41%
Total Cash (MRQ) $1.48 T
Total Debt (MRQ) $1.08 T
Operating Cash Flow (TTM) $-139.69 B

Financial Efficiency

Financial efficiency ratios evaluate organizational asset management and working capital control (such as inventory and receivables) for generating revenue and profits.

  • Specific financial efficiency metrics were not readily available.

ROIC stands as an important measurement of total capital efficiency but analysts need full financial statements to generate this metric. Monitoring should focus on equal groups in the same market sector.

No specific data available for this section.

Profitability and Growth

Profitability margins show how much profit is generated per dollar of sales at different stages (Gross, Operating, Net). Growth rates track the expansion of revenue and earnings over time.

  • Moderate recent growth (Revenue: 4.80%, Earnings: 14.20%) shows a stable performance trajectory.
  • Gross Margin (0.00%) appears low, while Operating Margin (43.34%) is strong. Analyzing margin trends over time is important.

Business owners should measure margins by comparing them against industry competitors and past performance records. Stock value development depends heavily on sustainable growth.

Profit Margin (TTM) 35.38%
Operating Margin (TTM) 43.34%
Gross Margin (TTM) 0.00%
EBITDA Margin (TTM) 0.00%
Revenue (TTM) $168.71 B
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.80%
Gross Profit (TTM) $168.71 B
Net Income (TTM) $58.24 B
Earnings Growth (YoY) 14.20%

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Stock dividends together with share repurchases constitute major methods that corporations use to redistribute wealth to their shareholders. Investors who focus on income require a thorough analysis of both yield ratios and dividend sustainability.

  • Dividend Yield (Forward) is 221.00%.
  • Payout Ratio of 24.78% indicates a low, suggesting significant capacity for future increases.
  • This dividend profile may appeal most to primarily growth (low current yield likely) investors.
  • Share buybacks (Yield: N/A) also contribute to total shareholder return.

Shareholders obtain a yield consisting of dividends and buybacks according to the equation Total Shareholder Yield = Dividend Yield + Buyback Yield. Raising dividends to full potential may temporarily restrict future dividend expansion possibilities. Check Ex-Dividend Date for eligibility.

Dividend Rate (Fwd) $5.60
Dividend Yield (Fwd) 221.00%
Trailing Dividend Rate $5.05
Trailing Dividend Yield 2.02%
5 Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.7%
Payout Ratio 24.78%
Ex-Dividend Date 2025-04-04
Last Split Date 2000-06-12
Last Split Factor 3:2

Technical Analysis

Overall Technical Sentiment: Strong Bullish

Summary based on data up to 2025-05-06. Detailed charts follow.

  • Trend: Bullish Trend (Price > SMA50 & SMA200). Current Price: $249.25.
  • Momentum (RSI): 79.5 (Overbought), suggesting potential pullback risk.
  • Momentum (MACD): Line (4.61) above Signal (3.64) (Bullish Signal). Histogram is Positive (Strengthening Bullish).
  • Volatility (BBands): Price within Bands, indicating normal volatility range.
  • Support/Resistance (30d): ~$202.16 / ~$255.16.

Moving Average Values

SMA 20: $242.36 (Above)
SMA 50: $237.60 (Above)
SMA 100: $248.14 (Above)
SMA 200: $243.53 (Above)

Technical indicators analyze past price trends, not future guarantees.

Bollinger Bands Analysis

JPM Bollinger Bands Chart

The price ($249.25) is currently trading within the Bollinger Bands (Lower: $226.73, Upper: $258.00), around the middle band (SMA20: $242.36).

RSI Analysis

JPM RSI Chart

RSI (79.5) is above 70, suggesting potential overbought conditions. This could indicate a higher chance of a price pullback or consolidation.

MACD Analysis

JPM MACD Lines ChartJPM MACD Histogram Chart

Currently, the MACD line (4.61) is above the signal line (3.64), generally considered a bullish signal. The positive histogram (0.96) indicates strengthening bullish momentum (or weakening bearish momentum).

Historical Price & Volume

JPM Historical Price Chart

Historical closing price and volume. Range typically shows last 3 years.

Stock Price Statistics

The statistics helps you to understand the stock’s volatility along with market-related Beta value and performance range and trading liquidity.

  • Beta is reported as 1.07x.
  • Recent Volatility (30d Annualized) is 31.9%.
  • The 52-Week Change of 25.47% reflects long-term price momentum.

Note: Beta > 1 indicates higher volatility than the market; Beta < 1 indicates lower. Average Volume shows typical daily trading activity.

Beta 1.07x
52 Week Change 25.47%
S&P500 52-Week Change 7.82%
52 Week High $280.25
52 Week Low $190.88
50-Day Moving Average $240.39
200-Day Moving Average $234.63
Average Volume (10 day) 8,164,590
Average Volume (3 month) 11,668,126
Volatility (30d Ann.) 31.9%

Short Selling Information

Short selling data indicates the level of bearish bets against the stock.

  • Short interest at 0.97% of float suggests minimal bearish pressure.
  • This level indicates low short squeeze risk.
  • The Short Ratio (Days To Cover) is 1.9x, meaning it would take about that many days of average volume to cover all short positions.

Note: High short interest can increase volatility. The Short Ratio helps gauge how quickly short positions could theoretically be covered. Data as of 2025-04-15.

Shares Short $27 M
Short Ratio (Days To Cover) 1.9x
Short % of Float 0.97%
Shares Short (Prior Month) $24 M
Short Date 2025-04-15

Risk Factors

Investing in JPM involves various risks. This section outlines potential factors identified through data analysis and general market considerations. It is not exhaustive.

  • ⚠️ RSI (79.5) is high (>70), suggesting potential overbought conditions.
  • ⚠️ General market fluctuations and economic conditions can impact stocks in the Financial Services sector.

Analyst Insights and Consensus

Wall Street analysts provide ratings and price targets based on their assessment of the company’s prospects.

  • The consensus recommendation from 22 analysts is Buy.
  • Analysts’ mean target price of $258.20 implies potential 3.6% change from the current price ($249.25), suggesting analyst limited near-term upside.

Note: Analyst opinions are subjective and can change. Look at the range of estimates (High/Low Target) and any recent revisions for more context.

Recommendation: Buy
Mean Target Price: $258.20
High Target Price: $330.00
Low Target Price: $195.00
Number of Analyst Opinions: 22

Conclusion and Outlook

Short-Term Outlook

  • Overall Technical Sentiment: Strong Bullish.
  • Price above key SMAs (50, 200), indicating bullish short/long-term trends.
  • ⚠️Overbought (RSI: 79.5), potential for pullback.
  • MACD indicator shows Bullish momentum signal.
  • Price is currently within normal volatility range.
  • ℹ️Key levels to watch: Support ~$202.16, Resistance ~$255.16.

Long-Term Outlook (1 Year)

  • Model forecasts ~+40.6% average change over 1 year to ≈$350.52.
  • Valuation appears moderate (Fwd P/E: 15.14x). (Needs peer comparison).
  • Fundamental health assessment incomplete.
  • Moderate recent growth (Rev: 4.80%, Earn: 14.20%).
  • Analyst consensus: Buy.
  • 💸Offers a dividend yield of 221.00%.

Overall Assessment:

Overall assessment requires careful consideration of all factors. Technicals currently show Strong Bullish signals. Fundamentals appear Moderate. The forecast suggests Potential Upside. Consider risks before investing.

This is an analysis report and not investment advice. Review all data and consult a professional.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the JPM stock forecast for the next year?

The current 1-year average price forecast for JPM is approximately $350.52. This represents a potential change of +40.6% from the current price of $249.25. Keep in mind this is an estimate, and the actual price could fall within the forecast range (see table) or outside it due to market factors.

Will JPM stock go up or down?

The 1-year forecast (+40.6% potential change) suggests the stock might go up on average. However, short-term movements can differ significantly based on technical factors (Strong Bullish) and market news. Refer to the detailed forecast table for projected monthly ranges.

Is JPM a good stock to buy now?

Current technical sentiment is Strong Bullish (positive leaning). The stock is currently ⚠️ overbought (RSI: 79.5). The forecast shows a +40.6% potential 1-year change. However, 2 potential risk factor(s) were identified (see Risk section). This is not investment advice. Evaluate risks, fundamentals (like valuation, debt), and your own investment strategy. Consider consulting a financial advisor.

How volatile is JPM stock?

The recent annualized volatility for JPM is calculated at 31.9%, indicating moderate price fluctuations compared to typical market averages. Check the ‘Stock Price Statistics’ section for Beta comparison if available.

Is JPM considered expensive based on P/E ratio?

The Trailing P/E ratio is 12.44x. This is considered relatively low relative to typical benchmarks. Refer to the ‘Valuation Metrics’ section for Forward P/E and other ratios, ideally compared to industry peers for full context.

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Report Information and Disclaimer

Data Sources: Yahoo Finance API (via yfinance library), FRED Economic Data (via pandas_datareader or fallback).

Limitations:The accuracy of the data depends on the source providers that include Yahoo Finance and FRED. Technical market indicators always operate with a delay because of their design. This document operates with past data because it have not real-time functionality.

Disclaimer: This report is generated for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice, nor a recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell, or hold any security. All investments involve risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Market conditions are volatile. Readers should conduct their own thorough due diligence and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. The creators of this report assume no liability for any actions taken based on the information provided herein.

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