NBIS Stock: What Wall Street Isn’t Telling You (2025)

Here’s the breakdown of the month forecast for NBIS (23.29 to 72.14 overall range). The table shows projected price bands, potential ROI against the current price, and the resulting model signal per period.

Over the forecast horizon (2025-06 to 2026-06), NBIS’s price is projected by the model to fluctuate between approximately 23.29 and 72.14.

Forecast uncertainty appears steady, with the price range (46.97 – 46.97 to 30.58 – 50.77) showing little change over the horizon.

While Nebius Group N.V. has a market cap of 12.28 B, its enterprise value of 11.02 B is lower, reflecting a strong net cash position of approximately 1.26B. This financial strength provides a cushion and flexibility for future investments.

The valuation ratios tell an interesting story: at 73.83x revenue and -29.94x EBITDA, Nebius Group N.V. trades at a premium to many peers. This reflects the company’s strong market position and brand assets. But it also means the stock may have little room for error. The upcoming 2025-05-20 earnings report will be crucial in showing whether Nebius Group N.V.’s businesses can grow into this valuation. Essentially, you’re paying for quality – but quality doesn’t come cheap.

An analysis of the key metrics in NBIS’s margin performance suggests the company faces significant margin pressure. The company is successful in controlling its production costs, as shown by the gross margin of 41.76%, and it also profits well from its core operations, reflected in the -234.18% operating margin. A -246.59% EBITDA margin indicates NBIS is capable of generating strong cash flow from its operations before accounting for financing and tax strategies. All things considered, NBIS can hold onto around $-271.690 in net profit for every $1 of its revenue over the last twelve months. While the business’s revenue is increasing at an aggressive rate (348.50%), investors should monitor if this pace can be sustained without eroding profit margins.

NBIS’s -398.00 M in EBITDA and 67.40 M in gross profit indicate its raw earning power, while the -426.60 M in net income reveals how effectively it converts that power into bottom-line results. This financial profile suggests the company is focused on aggressive growth and market capture, even at the expense of short-term profitability. Despite healthy gross margins, there is a significant difference between the company’s gross and net margins (41.76% vs. -271.69%). This is likely due to high operating expenses, interest costs, or taxes, which are key areas for investors to watch. In the future, maintaining steady or improving margins will be critical. NBIS needs to defend its pricing power and control operating costs, as this will help sustain profitability, especially if revenue growth moderates.

This section summarizes the collective view of professional analysts covering NBIS. The consensus recommendation is ‘None’. 4 analyst(s) contributed to this consensus view. The mean price target is 66.50, with individual targets ranging from 47.00 – 84.00. The average target (66.50) suggests roughly 37.1% potential upside compared to the current price (48.52). This provides a gauge of Wall Street sentiment regarding the stock’s potential.

There is currently 14 M worth of short interest in NBIS, and the short ratio (or days to cover) is 0.8x. This means that at the stock’s recent average trading volume, it would take about one day for all short positions to be covered. This low level suggests that short sellers do not currently have significant control over the stock’s price, and the risk of a prolonged ‘short squeeze’ is relatively low.

With 6.73% of the public float sold short, a moderate percentage of the stock is being shorted, showing some bearish sentiment but not an extreme level. This level has increased recently from 13 M, suggesting a shift in bearish sentiment. With notable short interest, investors should be aware of potential volatility spikes, which could be triggered by news events that force short sellers to cover their positions.

When looking at the price range over the past year, the stock has seen a high of 55.75 and a low of 14.09. This wide gap tells us the stock has been through significant fluctuations, likely influenced by market sentiment or company-specific news. Currently, the 50-day moving average at 41.32 is above the 200-day moving average of 32.84. This ‘golden cross’ setup is often viewed as a bullish signal, indicating positive long-term momentum.

A beta of 1.02x suggests the stock’s movement is generally in line with the broader market. Combined with a high 30-day annualized volatility of 73.3%, it’s clear this stock sees frequent price swings. For investors, this means potential for gains, but also higher downside risk. These indicators matter when deciding position sizing or entry timing, especially if you’re managing a portfolio that balances stability with growth exposure.

Overall Assessment & Outlook

Synthesizing the short-term signals with the longer-term view, NBIS exhibits Neutral-Bullish technical sentiment alongside moderate fundamental health. From a valuation standpoint, it looks Appears Moderate (Fwd P/E: -33.03x). The 1-year forecast model suggests potential downside (-17.9%) towards ≈39.81. Decision-making should factor in these elements against the potential risks outlined earlier and their strategic goals.

Investing in NBIS involves various risks. This section outlines potential factors identified through data analysis and general market considerations. It is not exhaustive.