TSM Stock Forecast: Price Prediction for Money Stockers (2025-2026)

This snapshot summarizes TSM’s current position. The stock trades at $191.98, with models forecasting a 1-year average target near $279.87 (+45.8%). Sentiment derived from technicals is Neutral-Bullish (Above SMA 50 / Above SMA 200). The stock’s recent volatility stands at 29.7%. The following sections provide deeper analysis into the underlying technicals and fundamentals.

The detailed month forecast below outlines the model’s expectations for TSM’s price evolution ($185.13 to $336.83). It includes projected ranges (Min, Avg, Max), potential ROI based on the average projection versus the current price, and a derived model signal for each period.

Over the forecast horizon (2025-05 to 2026-05), TSM’s price is projected by the model to fluctuate between approximately $185.13 and $336.83.

The model maintains a consistent level of confidence, reflected in the stable forecast range ($185.13 – $185.13 to $249.70 – $313.30).

Moving beyond simple market cap, total valuation metrics provide deeper insight. Looking beyond market cap, the Enterprise Value (EV), currently N/A, offers a broader view of TSM’s value by including debt and cash. Key ratios derived from EV include EV/Revenue (1.13x) and EV/EBITDA (1.65x), which assess valuation relative to top-line revenue and operating profit (pre-deductions). These figures help evaluate TSM’s price relative to its business scale and operational results. Note the upcoming earnings (Est: 2025-04-17) and ex-dividend (2025-06-12) dates.

This section examines TSM’s ability to generate profit and expand its business. Profitability is reflected in margins: Gross (57.41%), Operating (48.51%), and Net (41.69%). Growth trends are indicated by YoY Revenue (41.60%) and Earnings (60.30%) increases. Benchmarking these profit and growth figures against the past 📜 and peers 👥 is vital for interpretation. These are key indicators of financial performance and future potential.

This section summarizes the collective view of professional analysts covering TSM. The consensus recommendation is ‘Strong Buy’. 15 analyst(s) contributed to this consensus view. The mean price target is $223.69, with individual targets ranging from $165.66 – $265.34. The average target ($223.69) suggests roughly 16.5% potential upside compared to the current price ($191.98). This provides a gauge of Wall Street sentiment regarding the stock’s potential.

The following technical analysis summary for TSM, based on data up to 2025-05-23 00:00:00, outlines key indicators related to trend, momentum, and volatility. Detailed charts typically provide visual confirmation of these signals.

• Trend: Bullish Trend Confirmation, since the price ($191.98) remains above both primary SMAs, confirming bullish sentiment.
• Momentum (RSI): ⚠️ 75.9 (Stretched), indicating buying pressure may be excessive, raising pullback risks.
• Momentum (MACD): ▼ Bearish Stance (Line: 6.969 < Signal: 7.211), and negative Histogram reinforces the downward momentum.
• Volatility (BBands): ● Price between the Bands, indicating normal volatility conditions prevail. Monitor for potential breakouts or reversions towards the mean.
• Support/Resistance (30d): Potential near-term floor seen at $157.39, ceiling near $196.83. Reactions to these support/resistance levels are key technical events.

This data shows bets against TSM. Short selling activity is measured by Short % of Float (0.58%) and Days to Cover (1.90x). The short interest level is limited. This indicates minimal shorting activity and carries minimal potential for a short squeeze. With only 1.90x Days to Cover, shorts can exit rapidly, possibly capping squeeze momentum.

Here we detail TSM’s price behavior: market sensitivity, historical range, recent volatility, and volume. Key price behavior metrics include Beta (1.32x), the 52-week trading range ($133.57 – $226.40), recent short-term volatility (29.7%), and average trading liquidity (3m Avg Vol: N/A). Beta (1.32x) suggests the stock is more volatile than the overall market. Recent volatility (29.7%) is moderate, suggesting average price fluctuations.

Overall Assessment & Outlook

Synthesizing the data, TSM currently shows Neutral-Bullish technicals coupled with moderate fundamentals. From a valuation standpoint, it looks Appears Moderate (Fwd P/E: 24.39x). Models project a 1-year path indicating potential upside (+45.8%), targeting ≈$279.87. Investors should weigh these factors against the inherent market risks and their long-term investment strategy.

Investing in TSM involves various risks. This section outlines potential factors identified through data analysis and general market considerations. It is not exhaustive.