ALB Stock Analysis for Money Stockers
Introduction
This analysis focuses on Albemarle Corporation (ALB), a key player within the Specialty Chemicals industry (Basic Materials sector). As of 2025-05-23 00:00:00, the stock is trading at $57.61, reflecting an ambiguous technical signal, trading above the 50-day but below the 200-day SMA. Such positioning often points to a period of consolidation or a potential battle between short-term buyers and long-term sellers. Valued by the market at roughly $6.83 B, ALB represents a significant player in its field.
Here, we present a combined analysis of Albemarle Corporation (ALB), blending technical charts, fundamental metrics, and future projections. Our goal is to offer a well-rounded view of its market position, associated risks (review Risk Factors), and what the future might hold.
Company Snapshot
Core activities involve: Albemarle Corporation provides energy storage solutions worldwide. It operates through three segments: Energy Storage, Specialties, and Ketjen. The Energy Storage segment offers lithium compounds, including lithium carbonate, lithium hydroxide, and lithium chloride for use in lithium batteries used in consumer electronics and electric vehicles, power grids and solar panels, high performance grease…
Metrics Summary
The following data points provide a summary of ALB’s current status. Currently priced at $57.61, ALB has a model-based 1-year forecast around $27.36 (a -52.5% potential change). The technical picture shows a Neutral bias (Above SMA 50, Below SMA 200). Recent volatility (34.4%) quantifies price fluctuations. Further details on the technical and fundamental aspects are explored below.
Detailed Forecast Table
Here’s the breakdown of the month forecast for ALB ($6.77 to $71.89 overall range). The table shows projected price bands, potential ROI against the current price, and the resulting model signal per period.
Over the forecast horizon (2025-05 to 2026-05), ALB’s price is projected by the model to fluctuate between approximately $6.77 and $71.89.
The model maintains a consistent level of confidence, reflected in the stable forecast range ($59.08 – $59.08 to $6.77 – $48.44).
Month (Period) | Min. Price | Avg. Price | Max. Price | Potential ROI vs Current ($57.61) | Model Signal |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-05 | $59.08 | $59.08 | $59.08 | ▲ 2.6% | Consider Buy |
2025-06 | $32.09 | $53.14 | $71.89 | ▼ -7.8% | Consider Short |
2025-07 | $31.88 | $49.50 | $67.64 | ▼ -14.1% | Consider Short |
2025-08 | $23.87 | $47.13 | $67.56 | ▼ -18.2% | Consider Short |
2025-09 | $32.32 | $46.87 | $65.32 | ▼ -18.6% | Consider Short |
2025-10 | $21.46 | $43.84 | $64.84 | ▼ -23.9% | Consider Short |
2025-11 | $16.60 | $41.74 | $63.08 | ▼ -27.6% | Consider Short |
2025-12 | $17.26 | $40.41 | $62.00 | ▼ -29.9% | Consider Short |
2026-01 | $19.44 | $37.05 | $58.50 | ▼ -35.7% | Consider Short |
2026-02 | $12.06 | $34.83 | $50.89 | ▼ -39.5% | Consider Short |
2026-03 | $13.16 | $31.85 | $47.81 | ▼ -44.7% | Consider Short |
2026-04 | $9.01 | $28.98 | $49.09 | ▼ -49.7% | Consider Short |
2026-05 | $6.77 | $27.36 | $48.44 | ▼ -52.5% | Consider Short |
Model forecasts like these are estimates with built-in uncertainty. They depend on current data and assumptions, which can change. Actual prices are not guaranteed.
Total Valuation
Moving beyond simple market cap, total valuation metrics provide deeper insight. Enterprise Value (EV) of N/A provides a more comprehensive measure of ALB’s total worth than market cap alone, as it incorporates debt and cash. Key ratios derived from EV include EV/Revenue (2.24x) and EV/EBITDA (59.58x), which assess valuation relative to top-line revenue and operating profit (pre-deductions). These figures help evaluate ALB’s price relative to its business scale and operational results. Note the upcoming earnings (Est: 2025-04-30) and ex-dividend (2025-06-13) dates.
Market Cap | $6.83 B |
Enterprise Value | $8.98 B |
EV/Revenue (TTM) | 2.24x |
EV/EBITDA (TTM) | 59.58x |
Next Earnings Date | 2025-04-30 |
Ex-Dividend Date | 2025-06-13 |
Profitability Growth
Here we look at ALB’s profit generation and growth trajectory. Core profitability measures are Gross Margin (3.93%), Operating Margin (1.90%), and Net Margin (-22.39%). Growth trends are indicated by YoY Revenue (-20.90%) and Earnings (N/A) increases. Benchmarking these profit and growth figures against the past 📜 and peers 👥 is vital for interpretation. These metrics reflect financial success and expansion capacity.
Profit Margin (TTM) | -22.39% |
Operating Margin (TTM) | 1.90% |
Gross Margin (TTM) | 3.93% |
EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 3.76% |
Revenue (TTM) | $5.09 B |
Revenue Growth (YoY) | -20.90% |
Gross Profit (TTM) | $200.20 M |
EBITDA (TTM) | $191.59 M |
Net Income (TTM) | $-1.31 B |
Analyst Insights
This section summarizes the collective view of professional analysts covering ALB. The consensus recommendation is ‘Hold’. Data reflects input from 26 analyst(s). The mean price target is $81.86, with individual targets ranging from $58.00 – $200.00. Relative to the current price ($57.61), the mean analyst target ($81.86) points to approximately 42.1% upside. This provides a gauge of Wall Street sentiment regarding the stock’s potential.
Technical Analysis Summary
The following technical analysis summary for ALB, based on data up to 2025-05-23 00:00:00, outlines key indicators related to trend, momentum, and volatility. Detailed charts typically provide visual confirmation of these signals.
- Trend: Possible Bottoming / Near-term Upside, with price ($57.61) over the 50d but under the 200d average, suggesting a potential shift or temporary strength against the main trend.
- Momentum (RSI): ● 48.6 (Balanced), showing momentum is not at an extreme, offering few immediate reversal signals.
- Momentum (MACD): ▼ Line (-0.207) below Signal (0.017) (Bearish Crossover), and negative Histogram reinforces the downward momentum.
- Volatility (BBands): ● Price inside the Bands, indicating normal volatility conditions prevail. Keep an eye on potential breakouts or pullbacks to the middle band.
- Support/Resistance (30d): Key near-term levels identified around $55.48 (support) and $63.64 (resistance). Price action near these zones often dictates the next directional move.
Moving Average Details
Technical analysis uses past price and volume data to identify potential future trends but offers no guarantees. Combine with fundamental analysis and risk management.
Short Selling Info
This data shows bets against ALB. Relevant short data includes Short % of Float (21.86%) and the Short Ratio (4.20x). The short interest level is very high. This indicates significant bearish sentiment and carries strong potential for a short squeeze. The low Days to Cover (4.20x) indicates shorts could cover relatively quickly, potentially limiting squeeze duration.
Shares Short | $17 M |
Short Ratio (Days To Cover) | 4.20x |
Short % of Float | 21.86% |
Shares Short (Prior Month) | $13 M |
Short Date | 2025-04-30 |
Stock Price Statistics
Here we detail ALB’s price behavior: market sensitivity, historical range, recent volatility, and volume. Understanding price action involves Beta (1.71x), the 52-week span ($49.43 – $129.50), current volatility (34.4%), and trading volume (3m Avg: N/A). Beta (1.71x) suggests the stock is more volatile than the overall market. Recent volatility (34.4%) is moderate, suggesting average price fluctuations.
52 Week High | $129.50 |
52 Week Low | $49.43 |
50 Day MA | $62.83 |
200 Day MA | $83.66 |
Beta | 1.71x |
Volatility (30d Ann.) | 34.4% 📉 |
Conclusion Outlook
Short-Term Technical Snapshot
- ●Overall Technical Sentiment: Neutral
- ●Price Trend vs MAs: mixed (above SMA50, below SMA200)
- ●Momentum (RSI): Neutral (48.6)
- ▼Momentum (MACD): Bearish Crossover
- ●Volatility (BBands): Within Bands
- 📊Support / Resistance (30d): ~$55.48 / ~$63.64
Longer-Term Fundamental & Forecast Outlook
- ▼1-Year Avg. Forecast: ~-52.5% avg. change to ≈$27.36
- ●Fundamental Health: Assessment Incomplete (ROE: -9.99%, D/E: 35.76x)
- ⚠️Valuation Snapshot: Appears Elevated (Fwd P/E: 31.54x)
- ●Recent Growth (YoY): N/A (Rev: -20.90%, Earn: N/A)
- ●Analyst Consensus: Hold (Target: $81.86)
Overall Assessment & Outlook
Synthesizing the data, ALB currently shows Neutral technicals coupled with moderate fundamentals. Valuation appears Appears Elevated (Fwd P/E: 31.54x). Models project a 1-year path indicating potential downside (-52.5%), targeting ≈$27.36. It’s crucial to evaluate these findings in the context of specific risk factors mentioned previously and their own financial objectives.
Important: This analysis synthesizes model outputs and publicly available data for informational purposes only. It is not investment advice. Market conditions change rapidly. Always conduct thorough independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Risk Factors
Investing in ALB involves various risks. This section outlines potential factors identified through data analysis and general market considerations. It is not exhaustive.
- ⚠️ Overall market fluctuations can impact the stock.
- ⚠️ Factors specific to the Specialty Chemicals industry or Basic Materials sector can affect performance.
- ⚠️ The company is exposed to broader economic shifts (e.g., interest rates, inflation).
- ⚠️ Idiosyncratic risks tied to the company’s operations or announcements exist.