ABNB Stock Analysis for Money Stockers
Introduction
Our report delves into Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB), a company active in the Travel Services field (Consumer Cyclical sector). As of 2025-05-23 00:00:00, the stock is trading at $126.72, reflecting a mixed technical picture, positioned between its key moving averages. This placement indicates short-term momentum might be positive, but the longer-term downtrend (vs. SMA200) remains a factor. Its market capitalization stands near $78.21 B, ABNB represents a significant player in its field.
Here, we present a combined analysis of Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB), blending technical charts, fundamental metrics, and future projections. Our goal is to offer a well-rounded view of its market position, associated risks (review Risk Factors), and what the future might hold.
Company Snapshot
Its business model centers around: Airbnb, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a platform that enables hosts to offer stays and experiences to guests worldwide. Its marketplace connects hosts and guests online or through mobile devices to book spaces and experiences. It also offers gift cards. The company was formerly known as AirBed & Breakfast, Inc. and changed its name to Airbnb, Inc. in November 2010. Airbnb, Inc. wa…
Metrics Summary
The following data points provide a summary of ABNB’s current status. Currently priced at $126.72, ABNB has a model-based 1-year forecast around $94.41 (a -25.5% potential change). Technical indicators currently reflect a Neutral sentiment (Above SMA 50 / Below SMA 200). The stock’s recent volatility stands at 29.9%. We delve into more specific technical and fundamental analysis in the subsequent sections.
Detailed Forecast Table
The detailed month forecast below outlines the model’s expectations for ABNB’s price evolution ($54.21 to $154.50). It includes projected ranges (Min, Avg, Max), potential ROI based on the average projection versus the current price, and a derived model signal for each period.
Over the forecast horizon (2025-05 to 2026-05), ABNB’s price is projected by the model to fluctuate between approximately $54.21 and $154.50.
Forecast uncertainty appears steady, with the price range ($129.92 – $129.92 to $54.21 – $148.16) showing little change over the horizon.
Month (Period) | Min. Price | Avg. Price | Max. Price | Potential ROI vs Current ($126.72) | Model Signal |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-05 | $129.92 | $129.92 | $129.92 | ▲ 2.5% | Consider Buy |
2025-06 | $96.48 | $111.48 | $130.76 | ▼ -12.0% | Consider Short |
2025-07 | $95.51 | $108.61 | $127.55 | ▼ -14.3% | Consider Short |
2025-08 | $89.07 | $104.99 | $119.04 | ▼ -17.1% | Consider Short |
2025-09 | $87.17 | $103.32 | $128.24 | ▼ -18.5% | Consider Short |
2025-10 | $83.07 | $104.77 | $132.44 | ▼ -17.3% | Consider Short |
2025-11 | $81.30 | $104.66 | $131.62 | ▼ -17.4% | Consider Short |
2025-12 | $76.65 | $105.28 | $137.66 | ▼ -16.9% | Consider Short |
2026-01 | $73.06 | $99.81 | $138.38 | ▼ -21.2% | Consider Short |
2026-02 | $72.27 | $103.32 | $145.11 | ▼ -18.5% | Consider Short |
2026-03 | $68.45 | $105.00 | $154.50 | ▼ -17.1% | Consider Short |
2026-04 | $65.34 | $101.34 | $151.14 | ▼ -20.0% | Consider Short |
2026-05 | $54.21 | $94.41 | $148.16 | ▼ -25.5% | Consider Short |
Remember that these forecasts are generated by models, carry inherent uncertainty, and can change with new data or market shifts. Future prices are not guaranteed.
Total Valuation
Total valuation metrics offer a broader perspective beyond market capitalization. Enterprise Value (EV) of N/A provides a more comprehensive measure of ABNB’s total worth than market cap alone, as it incorporates debt and cash. Key ratios derived from EV include EV/Revenue (6.14x) and EV/EBITDA (27.25x), which assess valuation relative to top-line revenue and operating profit (pre-deductions). These ratios help assess the company’s valuation relative to its sales and operating earnings. Key upcoming dates include the next earnings announcement (Est: 2025-05-01) and the ex-dividend date (N/A).
Market Cap | $78.21 B |
Enterprise Value | $69.00 B |
EV/Revenue (TTM) | 6.14x |
EV/EBITDA (TTM) | 27.25x |
Next Earnings Date | 2025-05-01 |
Profitability Growth
This section examines ABNB’s ability to generate profit and expand its business. Key profitability metrics include Gross Margin (83.05%), Operating Margin (1.67%), and Net Profit Margin (22.60%). Growth trends are indicated by YoY Revenue (6.10%) and Earnings (-39.50%) increases. Evaluating these margins and growth rates against historical performance 📜 and industry competitors 👥 provides crucial context. These are key indicators of financial performance and future potential.
Profit Margin (TTM) | 22.60% |
Operating Margin (TTM) | 1.67% |
Gross Margin (TTM) | 83.05% |
EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 22.54% |
Revenue (TTM) | $11.23 B |
Revenue Growth (YoY) | 6.10% |
Gross Profit (TTM) | $9.33 B |
EBITDA (TTM) | $2.53 B |
Net Income (TTM) | $2.54 B |
Earnings Growth (YoY) | -39.50% |
Analyst Insights
This section summarizes the collective view of professional analysts covering ABNB. The consensus recommendation is ‘Hold’. This consensus is based on opinions from 34 analyst(s). The mean price target is $139.13, with individual targets ranging from $96.00 – $200.00. The average target ($139.13) suggests roughly 9.8% potential upside compared to the current price ($126.72). This provides a gauge of Wall Street sentiment regarding the stock’s potential.
Technical Analysis Summary
This technical overview for ABNB (as of 2025-05-23 00:00:00) covers essential trend, momentum, and volatility indicators. Charts offer more detail, but this summarizes the key signals.
- Trend: Short-term Bullish vs Long-term Bearish, showing price ($126.72) above the 50-day SMA but still below the 200-day SMA, possibly indicating early signs of a turnaround or a rally within a longer downtrend.
- Momentum (RSI): ● 49.4 (Balanced), showing momentum is not at an extreme, offering few immediate reversal signals.
- Momentum (MACD): ▼ Negative MACD (Line below Signal: 2.112 vs 3.370), supported by a negative Histogram, signaling growing bearish strength.
- Volatility (BBands): ● Price inside the Bands, currently operating within its typical volatility range. Watch for moves towards the band edges or potential mean reversion.
- Support/Resistance (30d): Key near-term levels identified around $118.00 (support) and $139.84 (resistance). Price action near these zones often dictates the next directional move.
Moving Average Details
Technical signals are based on historical data and aren’t foolproof predictors. Integrate technical views with fundamental research and sound risk management.
Short Selling Info
This data shows bets against ABNB. Relevant short data includes Short % of Float (3.50%) and the Short Ratio (2.40x). The short interest level is low. This indicates minimal shorting activity and carries low potential for a short squeeze. The low Days to Cover (2.40x) indicates shorts could cover relatively quickly, potentially limiting squeeze duration.
Shares Short | $15 M |
Short Ratio (Days To Cover) | 2.40x |
Short % of Float | 3.50% |
Shares Short (Prior Month) | $16 M |
Short Date | 2025-04-30 |
Stock Price Statistics
This section summarizes ABNB’s stock price characteristics, including its sensitivity to market movements, historical trading range, recent price fluctuation intensity, and typical trading volume. Key price behavior metrics include Beta (1.15x), the 52-week trading range ($99.88 – $163.93), recent short-term volatility (29.9%), and average trading liquidity (3m Avg Vol: N/A). Beta (1.15x) implies the stock’s volatility generally tracks the broader market. Recent volatility (29.9%) is moderate, suggesting average price fluctuations.
52 Week High | $163.93 |
52 Week Low | $99.88 |
50 Day MA | $123.12 |
200 Day MA | $129.21 |
Beta | 1.15x |
Volatility (30d Ann.) | 29.9% 📉 |
Conclusion Outlook
Short-Term Technical Snapshot
- ●Overall Technical Sentiment: Neutral
- ●Price Trend vs MAs: mixed (above SMA50, below SMA200)
- ●Momentum (RSI): Neutral (49.4)
- ▼Momentum (MACD): Bearish Crossover
- ●Volatility (BBands): Within Bands
- 📊Support / Resistance (30d): ~$118.00 / ~$139.84
Longer-Term Fundamental & Forecast Outlook
- ▼1-Year Avg. Forecast: ~-25.5% avg. change to ≈$94.41
- ●Fundamental Health: Assessment Incomplete (ROE: 32.06%, D/E: 28.73x)
- ●Valuation Snapshot: Appears Moderate (Fwd P/E: 28.16x)
- ➖Recent Growth (YoY): Negative (Rev: 6.10%, Earn: -39.50%)
- ●Analyst Consensus: Hold (Target: $139.13)
Overall Assessment & Outlook
Synthesizing the data, ABNB currently shows Neutral technicals coupled with moderate fundamentals. From a valuation standpoint, it looks Appears Moderate (Fwd P/E: 28.16x). Models project a 1-year path indicating potential downside (-25.5%), targeting ≈$94.41. It’s crucial to evaluate these findings in the context of their personal risk tolerance and investment timeline.
Note: This report combines model projections and public data for educational use. It is not investment advice. Market conditions change rapidly. Always conduct thorough independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Risk Factors
Understanding the risks associated with ABNB is crucial. Below are potential risks derived from analysis and market awareness; this overview is not fully comprehensive.
- ⚠️ Broad market volatility affects all stocks, including this one.
- ⚠️ Headwinds within the Travel Services/Consumer Cyclical space could negatively impact the company.
- ⚠️ The company is exposed to broader economic shifts (e.g., interest rates, inflation).
- ⚠️ Specific news or developments related to the company could affect its stock.