Outlook for CHPT: Money Stockers’s Analysis & 2025-2026 Forecast

CHPT Stock Analysis for Money Stockers

Introduction

This analysis focuses on ChargePoint Holdings, Inc. (CHPT), a key player within the Specialty Retail industry (Consumer Cyclical sector). Trading activity on 2025-05-20 placed the stock price at $0.70, reflecting a mixed technical picture, positioned between its key moving averages. Being above the 50-day SMA but below the 200-day SMA suggests potential short-term strength conflicting with the longer-term trend, often requiring further confirmation. With a market capitalization of approximately $331.74 M, CHPT represents a significant player in its field.

This report offers a multi-faceted analysis of ChargePoint Holdings, Inc. (CHPT), integrating technical signals, fundamental data, and forward-looking forecasts. The aim is to provide investors with a balanced perspective on the stock’s current market standing, potential risks (see Risk Factors), and future performance outlook.

Company Snapshot

Operationally, the company is engaged in: ChargePoint Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides electric vehicle (EV) charging networks and charging solutions in the North America and Europe. The company serves commercial, such as retail, workplace, hospitality, healthcare, fueling and convenience, and parking lot operators; fleet, which include municipal buses, delivery and work vehicles, and port/airport/warehouse and oth…

Metrics Summary

Current Price$0.70
1-Month Forecast$0.26
1-Year Forecast$0.05 (-92.2%)
Technical Sentiment Neutral-Bullish
Volatility (30d Ann.)48.6% 📉
Above SMA 50$0.62
Below SMA 200$0.89
Green Days (30d)17/30 (57%)

Here’s a quick overview of CHPT’s key metrics. Currently priced at $0.70, CHPT has a model-based 1-year forecast around $0.05 (a -92.2% potential change). Technical indicators currently reflect a Neutral-Bullish sentiment (Above SMA 50 / Below SMA 200). Recent volatility (48.6%) quantifies price fluctuations. We delve into more specific technical and fundamental analysis in the subsequent sections.

Detailed Forecast Table

The detailed month forecast below outlines the model’s expectations for CHPT’s price evolution ($0.00 to $5.27). It includes projected ranges (Min, Avg, Max), potential ROI based on the average projection versus the current price, and a derived model signal for each period.

Over the forecast horizon (2025-05 to 2026-05), CHPT’s price is projected by the model to fluctuate between approximately $0.00 and $5.27.

The model maintains a consistent level of confidence, reflected in the stable forecast range ($0.65 – $0.65 to $0.00 – $3.30).

Month (Period) Min. Price Avg. Price Max. Price Potential ROI vs Current ($0.70) Model Signal
2025-05 $0.65 $0.65 $0.65 -6.9% Consider Short
2025-06 $0.00 $0.27 $3.39 -61.6% Consider Short
2025-07 $0.00 $0.26 $3.52 -62.6% Consider Short
2025-08 $0.00 $0.22 $3.20 -68.6% Consider Short
2025-09 $0.00 $0.19 $5.27 -73.4% Consider Short
2025-10 $0.00 $0.16 $4.55 -77.7% Consider Short
2025-11 $0.00 $0.14 $3.44 -79.8% Consider Short
2025-12 $0.00 $0.14 $3.01 -80.5% Consider Short
2026-01 $0.00 $0.12 $3.20 -82.7% Consider Short
2026-02 $0.00 $0.10 $3.88 -85.1% Consider Short
2026-03 $0.00 $0.08 $3.23 -88.2% Consider Short
2026-04 $0.00 $0.06 $3.62 -90.9% Consider Short
2026-05 $0.00 $0.05 $3.30 -92.2% Consider Short

Model forecasts like these are estimates with built-in uncertainty. They depend on current data and assumptions, which can change. Actual prices are not guaranteed.

Total Valuation

Total valuation metrics offer a broader perspective beyond market capitalization. At $424.16 M, the Enterprise Value (EV) presents a fuller picture of CHPT’s aggregate value, accounting for both equity and net debt. Relating this EV to performance, the EV/Revenue multiple stands at 1.03x, and the EV/EBITDA multiple is -2.00x, gauging value against sales and core operational earnings respectively. These ratios help assess the company’s valuation relative to its sales and operating earnings. Key upcoming dates include the next earnings announcement (Est: 2025-06-04) and the ex-dividend date (N/A).

Market Cap $331.74 M
Enterprise Value (EV TTM) $424.16 M
EV/Revenue (TTM) 1.03x
EV/EBITDA (TTM) -2.00x
Next Earnings Date 2025-06-04

Profitability Growth

This section examines CHPT’s ability to generate profit and expand its business. Core profitability measures are Gross Margin (24.37%), Operating Margin (-53.93%), and Net Margin (-66.43%). Recent expansion is reflected in Year-over-Year Revenue Growth (-12.00%) and Earnings Growth (N/A). Evaluating these margins and growth rates against historical performance 📜 and industry competitors 👥 provides crucial context. These are key indicators of financial performance and future potential.

Profit Margin (TTM) -66.43%
Operating Margin (TTM) -53.93%
Gross Margin (TTM) 24.37%
EBITDA Margin (TTM) -51.30%
Revenue (TTM) $417.08 M
Revenue Growth (YoY) -12.00%
Gross Profit (TTM) $101.64 M
EBITDA (TTM) $-213.98 M
Net Income (TTM) $-277.07 M

Analyst Insights

This section summarizes the collective view of professional analysts covering CHPT. The consensus recommendation is ‘Hold’. Data reflects input from 12 analyst(s). The mean price target is $1.25, with individual targets ranging from $0.50 – $3.00. Based on the mean target ($1.25), this implies a potential upside of ~79.3% from the current price ($0.70). This provides a gauge of Wall Street sentiment regarding the stock’s potential.

Recommendation: Hold
Mean Target Price: $1.25
High Target Price: $3.00
Low Target Price: $0.50
Number of Analyst Opinions: 12

Technical Analysis Summary

Overall Technical Sentiment: Neutral-Bullish

The following technical analysis summary for CHPT, based on data up to 2025-05-20, outlines key indicators related to trend, momentum, and volatility. Detailed charts typically provide visual confirmation of these signals.

  • Trend: Short-term Bullish vs Long-term Bearish, showing price ($0.70) above the 50-day SMA but still below the 200-day SMA, possibly indicating early signs of a turnaround or a rally within a longer downtrend.
  • Momentum (RSI): ⚠️ 81.2 (Extended), warning that the recent gains could be unsustainable short-term.
  • Momentum (MACD): Positive MACD (Line above Signal: 0.024 vs 0.017), and positive Histogram reinforces the upward momentum.
  • Volatility (BBands): Price inside the Bands, indicating normal volatility conditions prevail. Watch for moves towards the band edges or potential mean reversion.
  • Support/Resistance (30d): Key near-term levels identified around $0.56 (support) and $0.72 (resistance). Price action near these zones often dictates the next directional move.

Moving Average Details

SMA 20: $0.65 (Above)
SMA 50: $0.62 (Above)
SMA 100: $0.66 (Above)
SMA 200: $0.89 (Below)

Remember, technical analysis looks at past data to find potential patterns; it doesn’t predict the future with certainty. Always use it alongside fundamentals and risk control.

Short Selling Info

Short selling data provides a measure of negative sentiment or bets against CHPT. Relevant short data includes Short % of Float (21.78%) and the Short Ratio (7.70x). The current level is considered significant. This implies strong negative bets and suggests high short squeeze potential. A medium Short Ratio (7.70x) implies covering takes multiple days, adding to the high squeeze outlook.

Shares Short $99 M
Short Ratio (Days To Cover) 7.70x
Short % of Float 21.78%
Shares Short (Prior Month) $109 M
Short Date 2025-04-30

Stock Price Statistics

Here we detail CHPT’s price behavior: market sensitivity, historical range, recent volatility, and volume. Key price behavior metrics include Beta (2.22x), the 52-week trading range ($0.51 – $2.44), recent short-term volatility (48.6%), and average trading liquidity (3m Avg Vol: 16,766,012). Beta (2.22x) suggests the stock is more volatile than the overall market. The recent volatility (48.6%) is high, indicating significant price swings.

Beta 2.22x
52 Week Change -58.82%
S&P500 52-Week Change 10.13%
52 Week High $2.44
52 Week Low $0.51
50-Day Moving Average $0.64
200-Day Moving Average $1.07
Average Volume (10 day) 8,816,550
Average Volume (3 month) 16,766,012
Volatility (30d Ann.) 48.6% 📉

Conclusion Outlook

Short-Term Technical Snapshot

  • Overall Technical Sentiment: Neutral-Bullish
  • Price Trend vs MAs: mixed (above SMA50, below SMA200)
  • ⚠️Momentum (RSI): Overbought (81.2)
  • Momentum (MACD): Bullish Crossover
  • Volatility (BBands): Within Bands
  • 📊Support / Resistance (30d): ~$0.56 / ~$0.72

Longer-Term Fundamental & Forecast Outlook

  • 1-Year Avg. Forecast: ~-92.2% avg. change to ≈$0.05
  • Fundamental Health: Assessment Incomplete (ROE: -119.13%, D/E: 230.59x)
  • Valuation Snapshot: Appears Moderate (Fwd P/E: -3.81x), P/FCF: -9.56x 💵
  • Recent Growth (YoY): N/A (Rev: -12.00%, Earn: N/A)
  • Analyst Consensus: Hold (Target: $1.25)

Overall Assessment & Outlook

Synthesizing the data, CHPT currently shows Neutral-Bullish technicals coupled with moderate fundamentals. Valuation appears Appears Moderate (Fwd P/E: -3.81x), P/FCF: -9.56x 💵. Looking out one year, the forecast implies potential downside (-92.2%) with an average target near ≈$0.05. Decision-making should factor in these elements against their personal risk tolerance and investment timeline.

Reminder: The following assessment is based on model data and public information, intended for informational use. It is not investment advice. Market conditions change rapidly. Always conduct thorough independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Risk Factors

Potential investors in CHPT should be aware of several risk factors. The following list highlights key considerations based on data and market dynamics, but may not include all possible risks.

  • ⚠️ High Volatility: Recent annualized volatility (48.6%) suggests significant price swings.
  • ⚠️ General market downturns pose a risk to the share price.
  • ⚠️ Headwinds within the Specialty Retail/Consumer Cyclical space could negatively impact the company.
  • ⚠️ Changes in macroeconomic conditions (interest rates, inflation) pose risks.
  • ⚠️ Unforeseen company events or news can impact the price.

Report Information and Disclaimer

Data Sources: Yahoo Finance API (via yfinance library), FRED Economic Data (via pandas_datareader or fallback).

Limitations:The accuracy of the data depends on the source providers that include Yahoo Finance and FRED. Technical market indicators always operate with a delay because of their design. This document operates with past data because it have not real-time functionality.

Disclaimer: This report is generated for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice, nor a recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell, or hold any security. All investments involve risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Market conditions are volatile. Readers should conduct their own thorough due diligence and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. The creators of this report assume no liability for any actions taken based on the information provided herein.

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