CHPT Stock Analysis for Money Stockers
Introduction
This analysis focuses on ChargePoint Holdings, Inc. (CHPT), a key player within the Specialty Retail industry (Consumer Cyclical sector). Trading activity on 2025-05-20 placed the stock price at $0.70, reflecting a mixed technical picture, positioned between its key moving averages. Being above the 50-day SMA but below the 200-day SMA suggests potential short-term strength conflicting with the longer-term trend, often requiring further confirmation. With a market capitalization of approximately $331.74 M, CHPT represents a significant player in its field.
This report offers a multi-faceted analysis of ChargePoint Holdings, Inc. (CHPT), integrating technical signals, fundamental data, and forward-looking forecasts. The aim is to provide investors with a balanced perspective on the stock’s current market standing, potential risks (see Risk Factors), and future performance outlook.
Company Snapshot
Operationally, the company is engaged in: ChargePoint Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides electric vehicle (EV) charging networks and charging solutions in the North America and Europe. The company serves commercial, such as retail, workplace, hospitality, healthcare, fueling and convenience, and parking lot operators; fleet, which include municipal buses, delivery and work vehicles, and port/airport/warehouse and oth…
Metrics Summary
Here’s a quick overview of CHPT’s key metrics. Currently priced at $0.70, CHPT has a model-based 1-year forecast around $0.05 (a -92.2% potential change). Technical indicators currently reflect a Neutral-Bullish sentiment (Above SMA 50 / Below SMA 200). Recent volatility (48.6%) quantifies price fluctuations. We delve into more specific technical and fundamental analysis in the subsequent sections.
Detailed Forecast Table
The detailed month forecast below outlines the model’s expectations for CHPT’s price evolution ($0.00 to $5.27). It includes projected ranges (Min, Avg, Max), potential ROI based on the average projection versus the current price, and a derived model signal for each period.
Over the forecast horizon (2025-05 to 2026-05), CHPT’s price is projected by the model to fluctuate between approximately $0.00 and $5.27.
The model maintains a consistent level of confidence, reflected in the stable forecast range ($0.65 – $0.65 to $0.00 – $3.30).
Month (Period) | Min. Price | Avg. Price | Max. Price | Potential ROI vs Current ($0.70) | Model Signal |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-05 | $0.65 | $0.65 | $0.65 | ▼ -6.9% | Consider Short |
2025-06 | $0.00 | $0.27 | $3.39 | ▼ -61.6% | Consider Short |
2025-07 | $0.00 | $0.26 | $3.52 | ▼ -62.6% | Consider Short |
2025-08 | $0.00 | $0.22 | $3.20 | ▼ -68.6% | Consider Short |
2025-09 | $0.00 | $0.19 | $5.27 | ▼ -73.4% | Consider Short |
2025-10 | $0.00 | $0.16 | $4.55 | ▼ -77.7% | Consider Short |
2025-11 | $0.00 | $0.14 | $3.44 | ▼ -79.8% | Consider Short |
2025-12 | $0.00 | $0.14 | $3.01 | ▼ -80.5% | Consider Short |
2026-01 | $0.00 | $0.12 | $3.20 | ▼ -82.7% | Consider Short |
2026-02 | $0.00 | $0.10 | $3.88 | ▼ -85.1% | Consider Short |
2026-03 | $0.00 | $0.08 | $3.23 | ▼ -88.2% | Consider Short |
2026-04 | $0.00 | $0.06 | $3.62 | ▼ -90.9% | Consider Short |
2026-05 | $0.00 | $0.05 | $3.30 | ▼ -92.2% | Consider Short |
Model forecasts like these are estimates with built-in uncertainty. They depend on current data and assumptions, which can change. Actual prices are not guaranteed.
Total Valuation
Total valuation metrics offer a broader perspective beyond market capitalization. At $424.16 M, the Enterprise Value (EV) presents a fuller picture of CHPT’s aggregate value, accounting for both equity and net debt. Relating this EV to performance, the EV/Revenue multiple stands at 1.03x, and the EV/EBITDA multiple is -2.00x, gauging value against sales and core operational earnings respectively. These ratios help assess the company’s valuation relative to its sales and operating earnings. Key upcoming dates include the next earnings announcement (Est: 2025-06-04) and the ex-dividend date (N/A).
Market Cap | $331.74 M |
Enterprise Value (EV TTM) | $424.16 M |
EV/Revenue (TTM) | 1.03x |
EV/EBITDA (TTM) | -2.00x |
Next Earnings Date | 2025-06-04 |
Profitability Growth
This section examines CHPT’s ability to generate profit and expand its business. Core profitability measures are Gross Margin (24.37%), Operating Margin (-53.93%), and Net Margin (-66.43%). Recent expansion is reflected in Year-over-Year Revenue Growth (-12.00%) and Earnings Growth (N/A). Evaluating these margins and growth rates against historical performance 📜 and industry competitors 👥 provides crucial context. These are key indicators of financial performance and future potential.
Profit Margin (TTM) | -66.43% |
Operating Margin (TTM) | -53.93% |
Gross Margin (TTM) | 24.37% |
EBITDA Margin (TTM) | -51.30% |
Revenue (TTM) | $417.08 M |
Revenue Growth (YoY) | -12.00% |
Gross Profit (TTM) | $101.64 M |
EBITDA (TTM) | $-213.98 M |
Net Income (TTM) | $-277.07 M |
Analyst Insights
This section summarizes the collective view of professional analysts covering CHPT. The consensus recommendation is ‘Hold’. Data reflects input from 12 analyst(s). The mean price target is $1.25, with individual targets ranging from $0.50 – $3.00. Based on the mean target ($1.25), this implies a potential upside of ~79.3% from the current price ($0.70). This provides a gauge of Wall Street sentiment regarding the stock’s potential.
Technical Analysis Summary
The following technical analysis summary for CHPT, based on data up to 2025-05-20, outlines key indicators related to trend, momentum, and volatility. Detailed charts typically provide visual confirmation of these signals.
- Trend: Short-term Bullish vs Long-term Bearish, showing price ($0.70) above the 50-day SMA but still below the 200-day SMA, possibly indicating early signs of a turnaround or a rally within a longer downtrend.
- Momentum (RSI): ⚠️ 81.2 (Extended), warning that the recent gains could be unsustainable short-term.
- Momentum (MACD): ▲ Positive MACD (Line above Signal: 0.024 vs 0.017), and positive Histogram reinforces the upward momentum.
- Volatility (BBands): ● Price inside the Bands, indicating normal volatility conditions prevail. Watch for moves towards the band edges or potential mean reversion.
- Support/Resistance (30d): Key near-term levels identified around $0.56 (support) and $0.72 (resistance). Price action near these zones often dictates the next directional move.
Moving Average Details
Remember, technical analysis looks at past data to find potential patterns; it doesn’t predict the future with certainty. Always use it alongside fundamentals and risk control.
Short Selling Info
Short selling data provides a measure of negative sentiment or bets against CHPT. Relevant short data includes Short % of Float (21.78%) and the Short Ratio (7.70x). The current level is considered significant. This implies strong negative bets and suggests high short squeeze potential. A medium Short Ratio (7.70x) implies covering takes multiple days, adding to the high squeeze outlook.
Shares Short | $99 M |
Short Ratio (Days To Cover) | 7.70x |
Short % of Float | 21.78% |
Shares Short (Prior Month) | $109 M |
Short Date | 2025-04-30 |
Stock Price Statistics
Here we detail CHPT’s price behavior: market sensitivity, historical range, recent volatility, and volume. Key price behavior metrics include Beta (2.22x), the 52-week trading range ($0.51 – $2.44), recent short-term volatility (48.6%), and average trading liquidity (3m Avg Vol: 16,766,012). Beta (2.22x) suggests the stock is more volatile than the overall market. The recent volatility (48.6%) is high, indicating significant price swings.
Beta | 2.22x |
52 Week Change | -58.82% |
S&P500 52-Week Change | 10.13% |
52 Week High | $2.44 |
52 Week Low | $0.51 |
50-Day Moving Average | $0.64 |
200-Day Moving Average | $1.07 |
Average Volume (10 day) | 8,816,550 |
Average Volume (3 month) | 16,766,012 |
Volatility (30d Ann.) | 48.6% 📉 |
Conclusion Outlook
Short-Term Technical Snapshot
- ▲Overall Technical Sentiment: Neutral-Bullish
- ●Price Trend vs MAs: mixed (above SMA50, below SMA200)
- ⚠️Momentum (RSI): Overbought (81.2)
- ▲Momentum (MACD): Bullish Crossover
- ●Volatility (BBands): Within Bands
- 📊Support / Resistance (30d): ~$0.56 / ~$0.72
Longer-Term Fundamental & Forecast Outlook
- ▼1-Year Avg. Forecast: ~-92.2% avg. change to ≈$0.05
- ●Fundamental Health: Assessment Incomplete (ROE: -119.13%, D/E: 230.59x)
- ●Valuation Snapshot: Appears Moderate (Fwd P/E: -3.81x), P/FCF: -9.56x 💵
- ●Recent Growth (YoY): N/A (Rev: -12.00%, Earn: N/A)
- ●Analyst Consensus: Hold (Target: $1.25)
Overall Assessment & Outlook
Synthesizing the data, CHPT currently shows Neutral-Bullish technicals coupled with moderate fundamentals. Valuation appears Appears Moderate (Fwd P/E: -3.81x), P/FCF: -9.56x 💵. Looking out one year, the forecast implies potential downside (-92.2%) with an average target near ≈$0.05. Decision-making should factor in these elements against their personal risk tolerance and investment timeline.
Reminder: The following assessment is based on model data and public information, intended for informational use. It is not investment advice. Market conditions change rapidly. Always conduct thorough independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Risk Factors
Potential investors in CHPT should be aware of several risk factors. The following list highlights key considerations based on data and market dynamics, but may not include all possible risks.
- ⚠️ High Volatility: Recent annualized volatility (48.6%) suggests significant price swings.
- ⚠️ General market downturns pose a risk to the share price.
- ⚠️ Headwinds within the Specialty Retail/Consumer Cyclical space could negatively impact the company.
- ⚠️ Changes in macroeconomic conditions (interest rates, inflation) pose risks.
- ⚠️ Unforeseen company events or news can impact the price.